Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC - SJ Earthquakes
04/19/2026, 11:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Los Angeles FC
SJ Earthquakes
League
The Lab
- 1Los Angeles FC: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 7 total)
- 2SJ Earthquakes: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 3Los Angeles FC: first goal in 5 of 6 games (83%)
- 4SJ Earthquakes: 5 wins in 6 games with xG above 1.0 (83% win rate)
- 5Los Angeles FC with Nathan Ordaz: 4 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (4 of 7 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
28%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Los Angeles FC has a home win probability of 39% compared to 33% for SJ Earthquakes
- Strong home defensive performance by Los Angeles FC with 0 goals conceded in 6 home games
- SJ Earthquakes in good form with 3 consecutive wins and 4 wins in their last 5 games overall
Risk Factors
- SJ Earthquakes' recent goal production has stalled (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.9 goals)
- Los Angeles FC suffered a loss in their last match
- The probability of a draw is 28% according to the model
Overview
Los Angeles FC (3rd place, 16 points) hosts SJ Earthquakes (2nd place, 18 points) in a Major League Soccer fixture. The match is scheduled for April 19, 2026, 11:00 PM. Both teams are in top league positions, promising a top-of-the-table clash.
Form
Los Angeles FC's form in their last five games is WWDWL (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their last encounter resulted in a loss. SJ Earthquakes, however, are in strong form with WLWWW, recording 4 wins and only 1 loss, including 3 consecutive wins in their last five matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Los Angeles FC averages 2.14 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.29 goals on average this season. At home, they average 2.0 goals scored and 0 goals conceded. SJ Earthquakes has a seasonal average of 1.86 goals scored and 0.29 goals conceded. Away, SJ Earthquakes averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded. Both teams scored in 1 game for Los Angeles FC, and also in 1 game for SJ Earthquakes. Los Angeles FC kept 6 clean sheets at home, while SJ Earthquakes managed 2 away clean sheets.
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct encounters, Los Angeles FC dominates the head-to-head record with 4 wins compared to 1 win for SJ Earthquakes. Overall, Los Angeles FC scored 16 goals and conceded 9. The last meeting on September 14, 2025, saw Los Angeles FC win away with a 4:2 score against SJ Earthquakes.
Key Players
Key players for Los Angeles FC include Heung-min Son (0 goals, 6 assists), Denis Bouanga (4 goals, 1 assist), and Mathieu Choinière (2 goals, 0 assists). For SJ Earthquakes, Preston Judd (3 goals, 2 assists), Daniel Munie (2 goals, 1 assist), and Niko Tsakiris (2 goals, 1 assist) stand out. Heung-min Son provided 4 assists in his last 5 games. Denis Bouanga scored 3 goals in his last 5 games. Niko Tsakiris recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Hugo Lloris of Los Angeles FC has recorded 6 clean sheets this season. Daniel of SJ Earthquakes has kept 5 clean sheets.
Influences
Los Angeles FC has a very strong home record with 12 goals scored and no goals conceded in 6 home games. SJ Earthquakes conceded an average of 0.33 goals per away game.