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Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC - Portland Timbers

08/23/2026, 02:30 AM

1 : 1
Expected Goals
Los Angeles FC
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Portland Timbers
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
LAFPT

Los Angeles FC

Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.72
Attack weakness (0.77x league average)
-0.52
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.07
Standings advantage (pos 3 vs 9, 6 places gap)
+0.04
Jacob ShaffelburgĀ  on the bench (0 goals, 3 assists)

Portland Timbers

Standings disadvantage (pos 9 vs 3, 6 places gap)
-0.07
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
+0.04
Brandon Bye on the bench (1 goals, 3 assists)
Weak away record (1.3 vs 1.8 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Portland Timbers: 7 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 2
    Los Angeles FC with David MartĆ­nez: 2.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Portland Timbers with JosƩ Luis Caicedo Barrera: 2.5 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Los Angeles FC: 4 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (80% win rate)

  • 5
    Portland Timbers: 72% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

44%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

73%

Away or Draw

56%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

55%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • Away defensive struggles: Portland concede an average of 2.50 goals per away match
  • Low offensive efficiency: Los Angeles FC averaged just 2.8 shots on target per match in their recent games
  • Strong home defense: Los Angeles FC concede only 0.77 goals on average per game at the BMO Stadium
Risk Factors
  • Fatigue factor: Both teams face high physical demands with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Declining home offense: Los Angeles FC's goal production has dropped recently to 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 1.8
Overview

Los Angeles FC (3rd place, 34 points) host Portland Timbers (9th place, 27 points) at the BMO Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 23, 2026, 4:30 AM

Los Angeles FC aim to secure their playoff position at home

Portland are fighting to close the gap to the upper table region

Form

Los Angeles FC exhibit unstable form with WWDLL and suffer from two consecutive defeats

The overall form summary lists 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Portland Timbers arrive with a stronger form of DWWLW, boasting 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Portland won their last match while Los Angeles FC experienced a loss

Statistics

Los Angeles FC score an average of 1.67 goals and concede 1.00 goals per game

At home, their defense is solid, conceding only 0.77 goals per match

Portland Timbers score 1.85 goals on average but concede a staggering 2.50 goals per away match

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 15 out of 20 matches for the Timbers

Head-to-Head

There have been 5 head-to-head matches in recent encounters

The record shows 2 wins for Portland Timbers, 1 win for Los Angeles FC, and 2 draws

The last direct meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Portland on April 11, 2026

Key Players

Denis Bouanga has already scored 10 goals and provided 4 assists in 20 appearances

Heung-min Son contributed 4 goals and 8 assists this season

Kristoffer Velde shines for the visitors with 1 goal and 4 assists in his last 5 matches

Goalkeepers

Hugo Lloris guards the net for Los Angeles FC with 7 clean sheets this season

James Pantemis has recorded 0 clean sheets in away games out of 1 total clean sheet

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at the BMO Stadium

Los Angeles FC benefit from a strong home record with 7 clean sheets in 13 home games

The stadium average stands at 2.0 goals per match

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