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Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids - Seattle Sounders

09/20/2026, 01:30 AM

3 : 3
Expected Goals
Colorado Rapids
2.0
Total xG
2.8
Seattle Sounders
0.9
Most Likely Scores

2:0

11%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
What influences the xG?
CRSS

Colorado Rapids

Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.49
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.23
Declining form (0.6 vs 1.4 season average)
-0.23
Attack strength (1.29x league average)
+0.23
Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 14, 7 places gap)
+0.07
Darren Yapi on the bench (3 goals, 2 assists)
Georgi Minoungou on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Youssef Maziz not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
30% of goal output missing (only 68% available)
Strong home record (1.9 vs 1.4 goals/match)

Seattle Sounders

Standings disadvantage (pos 14 vs 7, 7 places gap)
-0.07
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.06
Paul Rothrock not in squad (5 goals, 1 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Seattle Sounders: opponent scores first in 9 of 11 games (82%)

  • 2
    Seattle Sounders: 10 of 22 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Colorado Rapids: 5 wins in 6 games with xG above 1.0 (83% win rate)

  • 4
    Seattle Sounders: 4 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 12 games (4 of 8 total)

  • 5
    Seattle Sounders with Cristian RoldĂĄn starting: 1.3 goals/game, without him: 0.7 (13/7 games, last 23)

  • 6
    Colorado Rapids: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

23%

Away Win

14%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

86%

Away or Draw

38%

No Draw

77%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • Outstanding home defense for Colorado Rapids conceding only 0.53 goals per match
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 62%
  • Seattle Sounders are winless in their last 5 games and arrive with a form of LDDDD
Risk Factors
  • Youssef Maziz, Darren Yapi, and Georgi Minoungou are missing, leaving Colorado with only 69% of their usual attacking threat
  • Colorado Rapids failed to win any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Seattle
  • Seattle Sounders managed to keep 4 clean sheets in 8 away games this season
Overview

Colorado Rapids face Seattle Sounders at Dick's Sporting Goods Park

Major League Soccer match on September 20, 2026, 3:30 AM

7th placed Colorado Rapids play against 14th placed Seattle Sounders

The hosts enter the game as the clear favorites

Form

Colorado Rapids show mixed results with a form of LWLDW

They won their last match 1-0 against CF Montréal

Seattle Sounders recorded four consecutive draws in a form of LDDDD

Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against LA Galaxy

Statistics

Colorado scores 1.32 goals and concedes 1.28 goals per match on average

Their defense is exceptionally strong at home, conceding only 0.53 goals per game

Seattle Sounders average 1.09 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded

On the road, Seattle concedes an average of 1.5 goals per match

Head-to-Head

In 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 2 times while 3 matches ended in a draw

Colorado Rapids failed to win any of these matches

The last direct encounter ended in a 2-0 win for Seattle Sounders

Seattle has scored 8 goals compared to Colorado's 5 goals

Key Players

Paxten Aaronson contributed 6 goals and 5 assists for Colorado this season

Reggie Cannon secures the defense and scored 2 goals so far

Albert RusnĂĄk is the main playmaker for Seattle with 3 goals and 7 assists

Goalkeepers

Nicolas Hansen plays in goal for Colorado with an average rating of 7.08

Andrew Thomas guards Seattle's net with a strong rating of 7.13

Colorado kept 9 clean sheets so far this season

Influences

The home advantage at Dick's Sporting Goods Park is a significant factor for Colorado

On natural grass, home matches averaged only 1.2 total goals recently

There was a 0% both teams scored rate in the last 5 home games

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