Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC - Colorado Rapids
04/23/2026, 02:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Los Angeles FC
Colorado Rapids
League
The Lab
- 1Colorado Rapids: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Los Angeles FC: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 3Los Angeles FC: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 4Colorado Rapids with Alexis Manyoma: 11.5 goals/90 min. Without: 1.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 5Colorado Rapids: 4 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (80% win rate)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
28%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- The pipeline analysis predicts a home win with 39% for Los Angeles FC
- Los Angeles FC's strong home offense with an average of 2.17 goals meets Colorado's vulnerable away defense conceding an average of 3.0 goals
- Colorado Rapids showed positive attacking form in recent matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored
Risk Factors
- Colorado Rapids concede an average of 3.0 goals per away game
- Los Angeles FC suffered consecutive losses in their last two matches
- The mathematical analysis shows a draw with a probability of 28%
Overview
Los Angeles FC (3rd place, 16 points) host Colorado Rapids (8th place, 12 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 23, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC. Los Angeles FC aim to consolidate their top table position, while Colorado Rapids seek to improve their standing
Form
Los Angeles FC shows a form of WDWLL with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games. They recently suffered two consecutive losses. Colorado Rapids has a form of LWLWL with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches. Their last encounter ended in a loss
Statistics
Los Angeles FC scored an average of 2.0 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 0.75 goals. They kept 6 clean sheets. Colorado Rapids scored an average of 2.63 goals and conceded an average of 1.88 goals, with only 1 clean sheet. Los Angeles FC had over 2.5 goals in 4 matches, Colorado Rapids in 6 matches. Both teams scored in 2 games for Los Angeles FC and 6 games for Colorado Rapids
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles FC leads with 2 wins, Colorado Rapids won 1 game, and there was 1 draw. The goal difference of 10:5 goals favors Los Angeles FC. The last meeting on October 19, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw
Key Players
For Los Angeles FC, Denis Bouanga is significant with 4 goals, 1 assist, and a rating of 7.37, Heung-min Son with 6 assists and a rating of 7.33, and Tyler Boyd with 1 goal and rising form. For Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro stands out with 6 goals, 3 assists, and a rating of 7.62, Kosi Thompson with 2 goals and a rating of 7.39, and Darren Yapi with 3 goals and 2 assists
Goalkeepers
Hugo Lloris of Los Angeles FC recorded 6 clean sheets in 7 appearances. Zack Steffen of Colorado Rapids achieved 1 clean sheet in 6 appearances
Influences
Los Angeles FC shows a strong offense at home with an average of 2.17 goals per home game and a solid defense with an average of 0.67 goals conceded. Colorado Rapids concede an average of 3.0 away goals, but also score an average of 2.33 away goals