Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers - Dallas
07/23/2026, 02:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.8
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Portland Timbers
Dallas
League
The Lab
- 1Dallas: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2Portland Timbers with JosƩ Luis Caicedo Barrera: 2.5 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 3Dallas: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 4Portland Timbers: 38% of all goals between minutes 16-30 (6 of 16)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
28%
Away Win
44%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
56%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Dallas' superior form: 4 wins from the last 5 matches compared to Portland's 2 wins
- Away strength of Dallas: The visitors score an average of 2.0 goals and concede just 1.0 goal on the road
- Historical advantage: Dallas dominated the last 4 encounters and remains unbeaten against Portland
Risk Factors
- Surface disadvantage for Dallas: The visitors lost their only match on artificial turf 1-2
- Painful absences for Dallas: Top scorer Petar Musa (12 goals) is unavailable
- Portland's possession strength: The home side recently dominated with an average of 58% possession
Overview
Portland Timbers host Dallas at Providence Park
Major League Soccer match on July 23, 2026, 4:30 AM
Portland currently sits in 12th place with 17 points
Dallas occupies 5th place with 25 points
Dallas enters the match as the favorites
Form
Portland Timbers form: WDLLW
Dallas form: WWLWW
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Portland secured 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
Dallas achieved 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
The visitors display a more stable run of form
Statistics
Portland scores an average of 1.8 goals and concedes 1.93 goals per game
At home, Portland averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded
Dallas averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per match
In away matches, Dallas shines with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 1.0 goal conceded
Both teams have 10 matches each with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
4 head-to-head matches in recent years
Dallas dominated with 2 wins and 2 draws
Portland failed to win any of the direct encounters
The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw on September 28, 2025
Key Players
Kevin Kelsy scored 7 goals and provided 2 assists in 15 matches
David Da Costa recorded 1 goal and 5 assists in 12 matches
Cole Bassett contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 11 matches
Logan Farrington is Dallas' top scorer with 6 goals and 2 assists
Santiago Moreno follows with 2 goals and 1 assist in 10 matches
Kaick recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 15 matches
Not nominated for Portland: Kristoffer Velde (4 goals, 1 assist)
Not nominated for Dallas: Petar Musa (12 goals, 2 assists) and Ran Binyamin (0 goals, 2 assists)
Goalkeepers
James Pantemis made 15 appearances and achieved 1 clean sheet
Daniel has zero appearances in the league season but played in 5 recent matches
Dallas has recorded 3 clean sheets in total this season
Influences
The match will be played on artificial turf at Providence Park
Portland holds a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses on artificial turf
Dallas lost their only match played on this surface this season
The historical stadium stats show an average of 4.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches at Providence Park