🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - Columbus Crew

09/19/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 2
Expected Goals
CF Montréal
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Columbus Crew
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
What influences the xG?
CMCC

CF Montréal

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.15
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.15
Matty Longstaff on the bench (2 goals, 3 assists)
Noah Streit on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Brayan Vera not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
11% of goal output missing (only 91% available)

Columbus Crew

Defensive strength (1.8 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.38
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.02
W. Abou Ali not in squad (5 goals, 1 assists)
14% of goal output missing (only 77% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Columbus Crew: 9 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Columbus Crew: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

29%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

55%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • CF Montréal averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches
  • CF Montréal's recent goal scoring has slowed down to 0.8 compared to their season average of 1.3
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Montréal at 38%
Risk Factors
  • Columbus Crew concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away match
  • The absence of W. Abou Ali noticeably weakens the away side's attack
  • Columbus Crew averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
Overview

CF Montréal (15th place, 21 points) host Columbus Crew (13th place, 23 points)

Major League Soccer match on September 19, 2026, 11:30 PM at Stade Saputo

A clash between two sides in the lower third of the standings

Form

CF Montréal in poor form with only one point from their last 5 matches (Form: DLLLL)

The hosts recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

Columbus Crew shows a similar trend with 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses (Form: LLWLL)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

CF Montréal score an average of 1.24 goals and concede 2.04 per match this season

Columbus Crew record 1.4 goals scored and 1.68 conceded on average per game

The hosts concede only 1.15 goals per home game, while Columbus concede 2.08 on average away

Head-to-Head

In 5 head-to-head matches, CF Montréal won 1, Columbus Crew won 2, with 2 draws

The goal difference stands at 5:7 in favor of Columbus Crew

The last encounter on August 19, 2026 ended 2:1 for CF Montréal

Key Players

Prince Owusu with 13 season goals and 6 assists

Luca Petrasso records 3 assists with an average rating of 6.75

Santiago Rodríguez already scored 2 goals in just 3 appearances with a rating of 7.31

Brais Méndez has 2 goals and 1 assist in 8 appearances

Mohamed Farsi has 1 goal and 3 assists this season

Goalkeepers

Sébastian Breza holds an average rating of 6.87 and recently showed an upward trend (rating of 7.30)

CF Montréal recorded 4 clean sheets in total

Patrick Schulte has a season rating of 6.71

Columbus Crew also achieved 4 clean sheets this season

Influences

CF Montréal secured 3 of their 4 clean sheets this season at Stade Saputo

Recent matches at Stade Saputo averaged 2.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 home matches (80% BTTS rate)

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.