Major League Soccer
DC United - CF Montréal
05/23/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
DC United
CF Montréal
League
The Lab
- 1CF Montréal: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2DC United with Jared Stroud: 4.8 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3CF Montréal with Daniel Ríos: 5.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4DC United: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 5DC United: 3 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (5 points rescued)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a balanced match with a 36% probability for a home win and 36% for an away win
- DC United shows a positive offensive trend, currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals)
- CF Montréal displays significant defensive vulnerability in away games, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per match
Risk Factors
- For DC United, the unlisted Jackson Hopkins is missing, affecting 18% of the usual assist share
- CF Montréal has a key attacker, Prince Owusu, in declining form (0.24 goals/90 min recently vs. 0.59 goals/90 min season average)
- DC United operates with low possession (averaging 35% in the last 5 games), which could lead to prolonged defensive periods
Overview
DC United (8th place, 17 points) host CF Montréal (13th place, 13 points) in a Major League Soccer match on May 23, 2026, 7:30 PM. The game promises excitement as both teams vie for crucial league points.
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
DC United's recent form is WWDLD, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Their last game ended in a draw
CF Montréal's recent form is WLWDL, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last game resulted in a loss
DC United is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.4 goals), indicating a positive form trend
CF Montréal's goal production is stagnant (1.2 goals), compared to their season average of 1.4 goals, suggesting a negative form trend
Statistics
DC United averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game
In home matches, DC United averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded
The team achieved 4 clean sheets
CF Montréal scored an average of 1.38 goals per game and conceded 2.08 goals
In away matches, CF Montréal scored an average of 1.33 goals but conceded a high 3.33 goals
CF Montréal achieved 3 clean sheets
DC United's matches saw over 2.5 goals in 7 instances, while CF Montréal's matches had over 2.5 goals in 10 instances
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, both teams recorded 1 win each, with 2 draws
The goal difference stands at 4:5 in favor of CF Montréal
The last encounter on August 16, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
Key Players
For DC United, Louis Munteanu is in rising form with 5 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games
Tai Baribo also showed rising form with 4 goals in his last 5 games
Peglow has contributed 1 goal and 3 assists this season
For CF Montréal, Matty Longstaff is in rising form with 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games
Prince Owusu scored 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games
Wikelman José Carmona Torres contributed 1 goal in his last 5 games
Goalkeepers
DC United's goalkeeper, Sean Johnson, has recorded 4 clean sheets this season, including 1 in home games
CF Montréal achieved 3 clean sheets this season, with 1 in away games
Thomas Guilier is expected to start in goal for CF Montréal
Influences
DC United averages 1.17 goals scored at home and concedes 2.0 goals
CF Montréal's away games are often high-scoring, with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 3.33 goals conceded per game