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Major League Soccer

LA Galaxy - New England

09/06/2026, 01:30 AM

2 : 1
Expected Goals
LA Galaxy
1.2
Total xG
3.0
New England
1.8
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

2:1

6%

1:3

6%
What influences the xG?
LGNE

LA Galaxy

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.8 goals/match)
-0.14
Standings disadvantage (pos 13 vs 4, 9 places gap)
-0.12
Declining form (1 vs 1.3 season average)
-0.08
Joseph Paintsil on the bench (5 goals, 3 assists)
Lucas Sanabria on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Maya Yoshida on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)
46% of goal output missing (only 68% available)
Strong home record (1.6 vs 1.3 goals/match)

New England

Attack strength (1.41x league average)
+0.70
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 13, 9 places gap)
+0.08
Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.07
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.03

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    New England: 33% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 18)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

23%

Draw

26%

Away Win

51%

Goals

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

49%

Away or Draw

77%

No Draw

74%

Both Score

Yes

60%

No

40%

Key Factors
  • Mathematical analysis predicts an away win for New England with a probability of 51%
  • New England showed offensive strength recently, averaging 6.6 shots on target in past matches
  • The visitors score consistently, averaging 1.7 goals per game according to advanced stats
Risk Factors
  • Joseph Paintsil, Lucas Sanabria, and Maya Yoshida are missing, leaving only 69% of the usual goal threat available
  • Limited data availability regarding the head-to-head (H2H) record
Overview

LA Galaxy host New England at the Dignity Health Sports Park

Major League Soccer match on September 6, 2026, 3:30 AM

The hosts in 13th place with 26 points challenge 4th-placed New England with 37 points

A crucial matchup in the context of the standings

Form

LA Galaxy shows inconsistent form with the sequence DLWDL

The hosts recently recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

New England enters the match with a form of LLWDW

The visitors secured 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last outings

Statistics

LA Galaxy averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.52 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded

New England averages 1.56 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded in away matches

The visitors average 1.64 goals scored overall per match

Key Players

Marco Reus shines in midfield with 4 goals, 6 assists, and a strong rating of 7.23

Hirving Lozano has contributed 1 goal in 4 appearances

Defender Justin Haak provides defensive stability with a rating of 6.77

Goalkeepers

J. Marcinkowski played 17 games for LA Galaxy with an average rating of 7.01

Matt Turner kept 5 clean sheets in 22 appearances for the visitors this season

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at the Dignity Health Sports Park

Previous games at this venue averaged 2.0 goals per match

LA Galaxy scored 12 goals at home, while New England conceded 16 goals on their travels

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