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Major League Soccer

San Diego - Philadelphia Union

09/14/2026, 01:00 AM

0 : 5
Expected Goals
San Diego
1.7
Total xG
3.4
Philadelphia Union
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

5%
What influences the xG?
SDPU

San Diego

3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.8 goals/match)
+0.01
Gabriel Pirani on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)

Philadelphia Union

Attack strength (1.47x league average)
+0.55
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.22
Rising form (2.6 vs 1.9 season average)
+0.22
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Neil Pierre: 3 of 3 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Philadelphia Union: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

37%

Draw

25%

Away Win

38%

Goals

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

62%

Away or Draw

63%

No Draw

75%

Both Score

Yes

69%

No

31%

Key Factors
  • Tactical advantage: Philadelphia Union averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Form trend: Philadelphia Union is unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 3 consecutive wins
  • Offensive power: Philadelphia Union currently scores more frequently (2.6) than their season average (1.9)
Risk Factors
  • Defensive weakness away: Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.15 goals per away match
  • Limited data availability regarding head-to-head history
  • San Diego remains offensively dangerous, averaging 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
Overview

San Diego host Philadelphia Union at Snapdragon Stadium

Both teams are tied in 9th place with 30 points

Major League Soccer match on September 14, 2026, 3:00 AM

A direct battle in the middle of the standings

Form

San Diego shows inconsistent form with 2 wins and 3 losses (Form: LWWLL)

They recently suffered a 2-3 defeat against SJ Earthquakes

Philadelphia Union is in strong shape with 3 wins and 2 draws (Form: DDWWW)

The visitors are coming off a dominant 5-0 victory against Cincinnati

Statistics

San Diego averages 1.78 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded at home

Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.15 goals in away matches

The visitors score an average of 1.69 goals per away game

Matches at this venue have seen an average of 3.0 total goals

Key Players

Anders Dreyer leads San Diego with 9 goals and 10 assists

Elias Achouri has scored 2 goals this season

For the visitors, Milan Iloski stands out with 12 goals

Bruno Damiani contributed 6 goals and 2 assists for Philadelphia

Goalkeepers

Duran Ferree starts in goal for San Diego with an average rating of 6.89

Andre Blake guards the net for Philadelphia Union with 5 clean sheets this season

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego achieved 5 clean sheets in 18 home games

The home record shows defensive stability in their own stadium

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