Major League Soccer
New York RB - Philadelphia Union
08/29/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.5
1.7
2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
7%3:1
5%1:3
4%What influences the xG?
New York RB
Philadelphia Union
League
The Lab
- 1New York RB: 7 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes
- 2New York RB: 40% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 15)
- 3New York RB: 67% of all goals in the first half (10 of 15, last 12 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
24%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
70%
No
30%
Key Factors
- Form gap: Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in 5 matches while New York RB struggle
- Offensive trend: Philadelphia Union are currently scoring more frequently with 2.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.6
- Head-to-head record: Philadelphia Union won 3 of the last 5 direct duels against New York RB
Risk Factors
- Away defensive struggles: Philadelphia Union concede an average of 2.08 goals per away game
- Defensive vulnerability: New York RB concede 2.05 goals per game on average this season and have kept only 1 clean sheet
Overview
New York RB host Philadelphia Union at the Sports Illustrated Stadium
Major League Soccer match on August 29, 2026, 11:30 PM
New York RB sit in 8th place with 26 points
Philadelphia Union occupy 12th place with 21 points
Both teams search for crucial points in the standings
Form
New York RB show weak form with the record LWLLD
Most recently they recorded a 1-1 draw against Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union are in strong form with the record WWWDD
Most recently they secured a 1-1 draw against Austin
The visitors remain unbeaten in their last 5 matches
Statistics
New York RB average 1.48 goals scored and 2.05 goals conceded per match
Both teams scored in 15 of their 21 matches
Philadelphia Union average 1.48 goals scored and 1.81 goals conceded per match
The visitors conceded 27 goals in 13 away matches
The mathematical forecast calculates 1.84 expected goals for the home team and 1.71 for the visitors
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Philadelphia Union won 3 times
One match ended in a draw and New York RB won once
The last meeting on July 22, 2026 ended in a 3-1 victory for Philadelphia Union
The goal difference in these matches stands at 7-2 in favor of the visitors
Key Players
Julian Hall has scored 9 goals and registered 3 assists this season
Cade Cowell has contributed 2 goals and 6 assists
Emil Forsberg has recorded 3 goals and 4 assists
Milan Iloski leads the visitors with 10 goals and 2 assists
Cavan Sullivan has recorded 2 goals and 3 assists
Frankie Westfield has provided 5 assists
Not nominated: Mijahir JimƩnez (2 goals / 0 assists)
Goalkeepers
Ethan Horvath has played 21 matches this season with an average rating of 6.74
He has kept 1 clean sheet so far this season
Andre Blake has made 20 appearances in goal with an average rating of 6.69
He has recorded 3 clean sheets this season
Influences
The match is played on grass at the Sports Illustrated Stadium
The venue has averaged 2.4 goals per match in recent fixtures
New York RB's home record stands at 17 goals scored and 20 conceded in 12 matches
Philadelphia Union have scored 19 goals and conceded 27 in 13 away games