Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake - Sporting KC
04/04/2026, 08:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
2.9
0.9
1:1
11%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Real Salt Lake
Sporting KC
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
61%
Draw
24%
Away Win
15%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
85%
Away or Draw
39%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of a home win at 61%
- Real Salt Lake shows better current form with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 league games
- Real Salt Lake dominates the head-to-head encounters with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 matches
Risk Factors
- Sporting KC averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Sporting KC concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Real Salt Lake has only 88% of their usual goal production available without Juan Manuel Sanabria and Aiden Hezarkhani
Overview
Real Salt Lake (6th place, 10 points) hosts Sporting KC (15th place, 4 points) in Major League Soccer on April 4, 2026, 10:30 PM
Real Salt Lake aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table
Sporting KC is battling relegation and urgently needs points
Form
Real Salt Lake's form across all competitions is LWWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Their last result was a draw
Sporting KC shows the form LDLWL
They achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games
Their last result was a loss
Statistics
Real Salt Lake averages 1.8 goals scored per game and concedes 1.4 goals
In home games, Real Salt Lake averages 2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded
They have 0 clean sheets
Real Salt Lake had both teams score in 4 games and over 2.5 goals in 4 games
Sporting KC averages 1.0 goals scored per game and concedes 2.2 goals
In away games, Sporting KC averages 1 goal scored and 2 goals conceded
They have 0 clean sheets
Sporting KC had both teams score in 3 games and over 2.5 goals in 4 games
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, Real Salt Lake dominated with 3 wins
Sporting KC has not won a single direct encounter, with 1 draw
Real Salt Lake scored a total of 8 goals, Sporting KC 5 goals
Real Salt Lake won the last meeting 2-1 on September 14, 2025
The recent record shows clear dominance for the home team
Key Players
For Real Salt Lake, Morgan Guilavogui (0 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.57 rating), Sergi Solans (2 goals, 0 assists, avg 7.12 rating), and Zavier Gozo (1 goal, 1 assist, avg 7.04 rating) are crucial
All three players show stable form
For Sporting KC, Dejan Joveljić (3 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.95 rating), Lasse Berg Johnsen (1 goal, 0 assists, avg 7.31 rating), and Manu García (0 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.2 rating) are important players
Joveljić and Johnsen show a declining form, while García is stable
Goalkeepers
Real Salt Lake's goalkeeper, Rafael Cabral, has recorded 0 clean sheets in 5 appearances
Sporting KC's goalkeeper, John Pulskamp, has also recorded 0 clean sheets in 5 appearances
Influences
Real Salt Lake averages 2 home goals scored and 1 home goal conceded
Sporting KC concedes an average of 2 away goals per game