Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo - Seattle Sounders
04/05/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.7
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
29%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Prediction advantage: Mathematical analysis indicates a 44% higher probability for a Houston Dynamo home win
- Defensive strength: Seattle Sounders concede an average of only 0.67 goals away from home and have achieved 4 clean sheets this season
- Goal-scoring prowess: Houston Dynamo has shown strong offensive output at home, averaging 2.50 goals per home game
- Head-to-head: Seattle Sounders dominate the history with 2 wins and 3 draws in 5 direct encounters, including a 3-1 away victory
Overview
Houston Dynamo (9th place, 6 points) host Seattle Sounders (5th place, 10 points) in a Major League Soccer fixture on April 4, 2026, 7:30 PM. The Sounders are currently in a playoff position, while Houston is mid-table.
Form
Houston Dynamo's form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) is mixed with WLWL. In their last four matches, Houston has recorded 2 wins and 2 losses. Their most recent result was a 3-4 away loss to Dallas, preceded by a 3-2 home win against Portland Timbers.
The Seattle Sounders show better form with WLWWD. The team achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their last match was a 0-0 away draw against Minnesota United, following a 1-0 away win against SJ Earthquakes.
Statistics
Houston Dynamo averages 2.00 goals scored per game this season and concedes 2.25 goals. At home, they average 2.50 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 4 matches, and both teams scored in 3 matches.
Seattle Sounders have a season average of 1.00 goals scored and only 0.40 goals conceded. Away from home, the Sounders average 1.00 goal scored and concede just 0.67 goals. Seattle Sounders kept 4 clean sheets in total, with 3 of them coming in away games. Over 2.5 goals were scored in only 1 of 5 matches, and both teams scored in 1 match.
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo has not secured any wins. Seattle Sounders won 2 matches, and 3 ended in a draw. The goal difference is 2:5 in favor of the Sounders. The last encounter on May 11, 2025, resulted in a 1-3 away victory for Seattle Sounders. Recent direct duels show dominance by the away team.
Key Players
For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme stands out with 4 goals and 3 assists and an average rating of 8.35 this season. Mateusz Bogusz scored 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.06. Lawrence Ennali contributed 1 goal and has a rating of 6.78.
For Seattle Sounders, Paul Rothrock is a key player with 2 goals and 1 assist and a rating of 7.53. JesĂșs Ferreira impressed with 3 assists and a rating of 7.07. Cristian RoldĂĄn scored 1 goal and achieved a rating of 7.01.
Goalkeepers
Jonathan Bond of Houston Dynamo has kept 0 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 7.15. Andrew Thomas of Seattle Sounders has shown strong defensive support with 4 clean sheets and an average rating of 7.49.
Influences
Houston Dynamo's home performance shows an average of 2.50 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded, indicating a balanced offensive and defensive output. Seattle Sounders have been defensively stable away from home, averaging 1.00 goal scored and conceding just 0.67 goals.