Major League Soccer
New York City - St. Louis City
04/04/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.7
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%What influences the xG?
New York City
St. Louis City
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
51%
Draw
27%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
49%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- New York City is favored for a home win with a 51% probability
- New York City shows a significantly stronger offense with 2.6 goals per game compared to St. Louis City's 0.8 goals per game
- New York City is in better form with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches, compared to St. Louis City's 1 win and 1 draw
Overview
New York City (2nd place, 10 points) hosts St. Louis City (13th place, 4 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 4, 2026, 7:30 PM. New York City aims to solidify its leading position in the table.
Form
New York City's form across all competitions is DWWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss).
The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches.
Their last outing resulted in a loss.
St. Louis City's form across all competitions is DLLLW.
The team achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches.
Their last outing resulted in a win.
Statistics
New York City averages 2.6 goals scored per game and concedes 1.2 goals on average this season.
At home, New York City averages 2.5 goals scored and concedes 1.0 goals.
New York City has seen both teams score in 4 matches and over 2.5 goals in 4 matches.
St. Louis City averages 0.8 goals scored per game and concedes 1.4 goals on average this season.
St. Louis City has seen both teams score in 2 matches and over 2.5 goals in 1 match.
Head-to-Head
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these teams.
St. Louis City won the only encounter 2-0 on March 3, 2024.
New York City did not score any goals in this single match, while St. Louis City scored 2 goals.
Key Players
For New York City, NicolĂĄs FernĂĄndez Mercau (5 goals, 0 assists), Maxi Moralez (1 goal, 4 assists), and AgustĂn Ojeda (2 goals, 1 assist) are key players.
NicolĂĄs FernĂĄndez Mercau shows strong form with an average rating of 8.02.
For St. Louis City, Marcel Hartel (2 goals, 0 assists), Chris Durkin (1 goal, 0 assists), and Simon Becher (1 goal, 1 assist) are the top performers.
Marcel Hartel stands out with an average rating of 7.70.
Goalkeepers
New York City's goalkeeper, Matt Freese, has kept 1 clean sheet this season with an an average rating of 6.83.
St. Louis City's goalkeeper, Roman BĂŒrki, has kept 0 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.74.
Influences
New York City demonstrates strong offensive performance at home with an average of 2.5 goals scored and only 1.0 goal conceded.