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Major League Soccer

Sporting KC - Vancouver Whitecaps

08/30/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 3
Expected Goals
Sporting KC
1.0
Total xG
2.7
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.7
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

0:3

6%

1:3

6%
What influences the xG?
SKVW

Sporting KC

Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-1.03
5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.4 goals/match)
-0.17
Declining form (0.4 vs 1 season average)
-0.17
Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 1, 14 places gap)
-0.16
Dejan Joveljić on the bench (8 goals, 1 assists)
Jake Davis not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
38% of goal output missing (only 70% available)
Strong home record (1.2 vs 1 goals/match)

Vancouver Whitecaps

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.41
Attack strength (1.21x league average)
+0.34
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.23
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings advantage (pos 1 vs 15, 14 places gap)
+0.11
Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
-0.07
Emmanuel Sabbi on the bench (3 goals, 3 assists)
Cheikh Sabaly on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Jeevan Badwal on the bench (1 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1.7 vs 2.4 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sporting KC: opponent scores first in 10 of 12 games (83%)

  • 2
    Vancouver Whitecaps: 3 comebacks in 5 games after trailing past minute 75 (3 points rescued)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

20%

Draw

27%

Away Win

54%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

46%

Away or Draw

80%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

53%

No

47%

Key Factors
  • Historical dominance: Vancouver won all of the last 5 head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 12:2
  • Tactical superiority: Vancouver averaged 5.4 shots on target per match with 62.4% possession in recent games
  • Defensive vulnerability: Sporting KC concedes an average of 2.43 goals per match and has kept 0 clean sheets this season
Risk Factors
  • Offensive struggles for the hosts: Sporting KC recently played counter-oriented football with an average of only 2.4 shots on target per match
  • Away defense variance: Vancouver concedes an average of 1.5 goals on the road compared to just 0.5 in home games
Overview

Sporting KC (15th place, 15 points) host Vancouver Whitecaps (1st place, 40 points) at Children's Mercy Park

Major League Soccer match on August 30, 2026, 2:30 AM

A clear clash between the bottom of the table and the league leaders

Vancouver enters the match as the strong favorite

Form

Sporting KC is struggling in poor form with LLLDL

They suffered a defeat against Atlanta United in their last match

Vancouver Whitecaps are in better shape with DDWLW

The visitors secured a dominant win against Dallas recently

Statistics

Sporting KC scores an average of 0.95 goals and concedes 2.43 goals per match

The home side has kept 0 clean sheets this season

Vancouver Whitecaps average 2.25 goals scored and only 0.9 goals conceded

The visitors have already secured 8 clean sheets

Head-to-Head

Vancouver dominated the last 5 head-to-head matches with 5 wins

Sporting KC failed to win a single encounter

The goal difference stands at 2:12 in favor of Vancouver

Their last meeting ended in a 0:3 away victory for Vancouver

Key Players

Calvin Harris leads the home attack with 3 goals and 3 assists

Lasse Berg Johnsen anchors the midfield with an average rating of 6.92

Shapi Suleymanov contributed 1 goal and 1 assist so far

Not nominated for the hosts: Dejan Joveljić (8 goals, 1 assist) and Jake Davis (0 goals, 2 assists)

Goalkeepers

Stefan Cleveland has kept 0 clean sheets for Sporting KC this season

Yohei Takaoka has secured 8 clean sheets for Vancouver Whitecaps

The statistical starting position favors the away goalkeeper

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at Children's Mercy Park

Venue history shows an average of 2.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 recent matches at this stadium

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