Major League Soccer
Toronto - Colorado Rapids
04/04/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.0
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
Toronto
Colorado Rapids
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
27%
Away Win
40%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
60%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Colorado Rapids' offensive strength: Mathematical analysis calculates 1.57 expected away goals for Colorado
- Toronto's home strength: The team averages 1.5 goals scored at home and concedes only 1 goal
- Dangerous Colorado offense: Colorado Rapids averaged 5.8 shots on target in their last 5 games and consistently scores 2.2 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Colorado Rapids' defensive weakness: The team concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game
- Potential for many goals: The mathematical analysis predicts over 2.5 goals with a probability of 58%
- Offensive absences: For Colorado Rapids, Darren Yapi is missing, who contributed 2 goals and 2 assists
Overview
Toronto (7th place, 7 points) host Colorado Rapids (7th place, 9 points) in a Major League Soccer match on April 4, 2026, 6:00 PM. Both teams are in the middle of the table, aiming to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Form
Toronto's last five matches show a form of LLWDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their last result was a win. Colorado Rapids' form is LWWLW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Both Toronto and Colorado Rapids ended their last matches with a win. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Toronto scores an average of 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.6 goals per game. At home, they score 1.5 goals and concede 1 goal per game. Colorado Rapids is more offensively potent with an average of 2.2 goals per game but concedes 1.4 goals. Away from home, they score 2.5 goals but concede a high 3 goals per game. Both teams have kept one clean sheet each so far. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches for Toronto and 3 for Colorado.
Head-to-Head
There has only been one direct encounter between these teams. Toronto won this match 2-0 as the away team on September 22, 2024. Overall, Toronto scored 2 goals in this encounter, while Colorado Rapids remained scoreless.
Key Players
For Toronto, DĆ”niel SallĆ³i (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.88 Rating) and JosĆ© Cifuentes (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 7.06 Rating) are key players. Walker Zimmerman (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 7.07 Rating) is also a crucial player. For Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.56 Rating) and Paxten Aaronson (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.47 Rating) stand out. Hamzat Ojediran (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 6.95 Rating) also contributes to the team's performance.
Goalkeepers
Toronto's goalkeeper Luka Gavran has an average rating of 6.57 this season and has kept one clean sheet. For Colorado Rapids, Zack Steffen is in goal with an average rating of 7.05 and also one clean sheet.
Influences
Toronto averages 1.5 home goals per game and concedes 1 goal per home game. Colorado Rapids shows a strong away offense with an average of 2.5 goals, but also a vulnerable defense conceding 3 goals per away game.