Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers - Los Angeles FC
04/11/2026, 08:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.8
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Portland Timbers
Los Angeles FC
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
27%
Draw
28%
Away Win
45%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
55%
Away or Draw
73%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Los Angeles FC's dominant league position (1st place, 16 points) and unbeaten run (5 wins, 1 draw) contrasts sharply with the Portland Timbers' struggles (14th place, 4 points, 4 losses)
- Los Angeles FC boasts an impenetrable defense with 0 goals conceded in 6 games, while the Portland Timbers concede an average of 2.5 goals per match
- Los Angeles FC's offensive potential is significantly hampered by the absence of key players Heung-min Son, Mark Delgado, and David Martínez, leaving only 49% of their usual goal production available
Risk Factors
- The historical head-to-head record between these teams is even, with 1 win each and 2 draws in 4 matches
- The Portland Timbers' current goal production (1.2 goals per game) is below their season average (1.5 goals per game)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 58% probability that both teams will score
Overview
The Portland Timbers (14th place, 4 points) host Los Angeles FC (1st place, 16 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 8:45 PM. Los Angeles FC aims to solidify their league lead, while the Timbers try to escape the lower ranks of the table.
Form
The Portland Timbers are in a difficult phase with a form of LLLDL. They have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last five games, with the last game being a loss. Los Angeles FC, on the other hand, is in excellent form with a WWWDW record. The team has achieved 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses in their last five matches and won their last game. The Timbers scored 6 goals and conceded 13 in their last five matches, while Los Angeles FC scored 11 goals and conceded none.
Statistics
The Portland Timbers average 1.5 goals scored per game and concede 2.5 goals per game. In their home games, these values are an average of 1.67 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded. They have not achieved a clean sheet this season, but both teams scored in 5 of 6 games. Portland Timbers' goal production is currently stagnating at 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.5. Los Angeles FC is offensively strong with an average of 2.33 goals scored per game and an impressive defense that concedes no goals on average this season. Away from home, they score an average of 2 goals and concede no goals. They have achieved 6 clean sheets and both teams did not score in any of their games. Los Angeles FC consistently scores, averaging 2.8 goals per game.
Head-to-Head
In the 4 head-to-head matches between the two teams, there has been 1 win for the Portland Timbers, 1 win for Los Angeles FC, and 2 draws. The goal difference is even at 8:8 goals. The last encounter on July 26, 2025, ended with a 1-0 victory for the Portland Timbers against Los Angeles FC.
Key Players
For the Portland Timbers, Kristoffer Velde with 2 season goals and Antony with 1 goal and 1 assist are important offensive players. David Da Costa also contributed 1 season goal. On the Los Angeles FC side, Denis Bouanga stands out with 4 season goals and 1 assist. Mathieu Choinière scored 2 season goals and Tyler Boyd 1 season goal.
Goalkeepers
The Portland Timbers' goalkeeper, James Pantemis, has played in 6 season games with an average rating of 6.93. His form trend is rising with 7.14 in the last 5 games. The Portland Timbers have achieved 0 clean sheets this season. For Los Angeles FC, Thomas Hasal is in goal but has not recorded any appearances this season. The Los Angeles FC team has achieved 6 clean sheets this season.
Influences
The Portland Timbers score an average of 1.67 goals at home and concede 2.33 goals. Los Angeles FC score an average of 2 goals away and concede no goals.