Major League Soccer
CF Montréal - New York RB
04/18/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.4
1.8
1:1
11%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
5%What influences the xG?
CF Montréal
New York RB
League
The Lab
- 1CF Montréal: 7 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 7 games)
- 2CF Montréal with Luca Petrasso: 1.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (5 of 7 games)
- 3New York RB with Omar Valencia: 5.5 goals/90 min. Without: 1.5 goals/90 min (5 of 7 games)
- 4CF Montréal: 73% of xG value comes in the first half (last 7 games with xG data)
- 5New York RB: scored only after the break in 3 of 7 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
25%
Away Win
43%
Goals
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
45%
Under 3.5
55%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
57%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: New York RB is the favorite with a 42% win probability
- Tactical Advantage: New York RB showed possession-dominant football in their last 5 games with an average of 5.4 shots on target
- Form and Trend: CF Montréal currently scores more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.14 goals), but has a poor overall form of WLLLL
Risk Factors
- Wikelman José Carmona Torres (3G/1A) is missing for CF Montréal, leaving only 60% of the scoring threat available
- New York RB concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
Overview
CF Montréal (15th place, 3 points) host New York RB (7th place, 11 points) in Major League Soccer
The match takes place on April 18, 2026, 02:30 PM
New York RB are favorites against the struggling hosts
Form
CF Montréal shows a form of WLLLL
The team recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses
New York RB has a form of LDLWD
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Statistics
CF Montréal scored an average of 1.14 goals per game and conceded 2.71 goals per game
New York RB averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.14 goals conceded per match
All 7 season games of CF Montréal ended with over 2.5 goals
New York RB recorded 5 matches with over 2.5 goals this season
In their 1 home game so far, CF Montréal scored 1 goal and conceded 2 goals
New York RB scored an average of 1.5 goals in 4 away games and conceded 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, CF Montréal secured 1 win and New York RB recorded 2 wins
2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is balanced at 7:7
The last encounter on March 8, 2026, saw CF Montréal win 3:0
Key Players
For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu with 4 goals and 1 assist and a rising form, and Iván Jaime with 1 goal and 1 assist are key players
Matty Longstaff has 0 goals and 0 assists with stable form
For New York RB, Julian Hall stands out with 5 goals and 2 assists
Adri Mehmeti contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, Emil Forsberg 1 goal and 1 assist
Goalkeepers
CF Montréal's goalkeeper is Thomas Guilier
CF Montréal kept 1 clean sheet this season
Ethan Horvath is in goal for New York RB
New York RB kept 1 clean sheet this season
Influences
CF Montréal scored 1 goal and conceded 2 goals in their single home game
New York RB scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 2.5 goals in away games