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Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids - Houston Dynamo

04/12/2026, 01:30 AM

6 : 2
Expected Goals
Colorado Rapids
1.7
Total xG
2.9
Houston Dynamo
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
What influences the xG?
CRHD

Colorado Rapids

Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.43
4 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.6 goals/match)
+0.13
Full strength squad available

Houston Dynamo

Defensive strength (2 conceded vs 1.2 league avg)
+0.84
Small sample (1 matches) - regression to mean
+0.06
Jack McGlynnĀ  not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
Weak away record (0.9 vs 1.6 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.1 goals/match)
+0.61
+0.61
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

27%

Away Win

23%

Goals

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

77%

Away or Draw

50%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • Colorado Rapids boasts a strong home offense, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game this season
  • Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game, showing a vulnerability here
  • Colorado Rapids' offense shows an upward trend with an average of 2.6 goals in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Houston Dynamo concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
  • In head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo has won two of the four encounters
Overview

Colorado Rapids (8th place, 9 points) host Houston Dynamo (11th place, 6 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 12, 2026, 2:30 AM. According to mathematical analysis, Colorado Rapids have a 50% win probability, while a draw is rated at 27% and an away win for Houston Dynamo at 24%

Form

Colorado Rapids showed form WWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five games. The team won three games and lost two. Their last result was a 2-3 loss against Toronto. Houston Dynamo presented with form WLWLL. In their last five matches, the team achieved two wins and three losses. Houston Dynamo lost their last two games

Statistics

Colorado Rapids averaged 2.17 goals per game and conceded 1.67 goals on average this season. The team kept one clean sheet and both teams scored in four games. In home matches, Colorado Rapids scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded only 0.33 goals. Houston Dynamo averages 1.6 goals per game and 2.0 goals conceded this season. The team had no clean sheets and both teams scored in three matches. Away from home, Houston Dynamo scores 1.5 goals and concedes 2.0 goals per game

Head-to-Head

In four head-to-head matches, Colorado Rapids won once and scored a total of 5 goals. Houston Dynamo secured two wins and scored 7 times. One game ended in a draw. The last encounter was won by Colorado Rapids on September 14, 2025, with a score of 2-1

Key Players

For Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro (3 goals, 2 assists) is a key player with rising form. Paxten Aaronson (3 goals, 1 assist) also shows an upward form trend. Darren Yapi contributed 2 goals and 2 assists. For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme stands out with 4 goals and 3 assists. Mateusz Bogusz scored 1 goal and 1 assist, and Lawrence Ennali has 1 goal. Jack McGlynn (0 goals/2 assists) is not in the squad for Houston Dynamo

Goalkeepers

Zack Steffen is the goalkeeper for Colorado Rapids. His team kept one clean sheet this season. Jonathan Bond is the goalkeeper for Houston Dynamo. His team achieved no clean sheets this season

Influences

Colorado Rapids shows strong home performance with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per home game. Houston Dynamo is more vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away game

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