Major League Soccer
New England - Columbus Crew
04/18/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.2
1.7
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
New England
Columbus Crew
League
The Lab
- 1Columbus Crew with Steven Moreira: 0.8 goals/90 min. Without: 5 goals/90 min (5 of 7 games)
- 2Columbus Crew: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)
- 3Columbus Crew: 5 of 7 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 4New England: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 6 games)
- 5Columbus Crew: 2 comebacks in 7 games after trailing past minute 75 (2 points rescued)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
33%
Draw
26%
Away Win
41%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
59%
Away or Draw
67%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with a probability of 41%
- New England displays a very strong defense at home, conceding only 0.20 goals per home game on average this season
- Columbus Crew is significantly weakened by absences, with only 47% of their usual goal production available, missing Wessam Abou Ali and Taha Habroune
Risk Factors
- Columbus Crew's goal production is faltering (averaging 1.25 goals per game recently, season average 1.5) and shows a negative form trend
- Despite New England's strong home defense, the historical head-to-head record shows Columbus Crew as the dominant side with 3 wins in 4 matches
- New England is without L. Campana Romero (Hamstring Injury) and M. Polster (Hamstring Injury)
Overview
New England (8th place, 9 points) host Columbus Crew (11th place, 6 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 19, 2026, 12:30 AM. New England aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table, while Columbus Crew seeks improved form to climb the standings.
Form
New England shows an inconsistent form with LWLWW in their last five matches across all competitions, reflecting 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last result was a win. Columbus Crew has a form of DLLWD, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games, with the last game being a draw. New England is unbeaten in their last two matches, while Columbus Crew drew their most recent game.
Statistics
New England scores an average of 2.00 goals per game and concedes 1.50 goals on average this season. At home, New England is particularly strong, averaging 2.00 goals scored and only 0.20 goals conceded per home game, with 2 clean sheets. Columbus Crew averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Columbus Crew scores 1.33 goals and concedes 1.33 goals per game, with 0 clean sheets. For New England, over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 6 matches, and both teams scored in 3 matches. For Columbus Crew, over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 7 matches, and both teams scored in 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the 4 head-to-head encounters between New England and Columbus Crew, New England has secured 1 win, while Columbus Crew has won 3 times. There have been no draws. The goal difference stands at 3:11 in favor of Columbus Crew. The last meeting on August 23, 2025, ended in a 2:1 victory for New England.
Key Players
For New England, key players could include Brayan Ceballos (Defender) with 2 goals and 0 assists, holding an average rating of 7.46 in 5 season appearances. Luca Langoni (Attacker) has 1 goal and 5 assists in 6 season appearances and Carles Gil (Midfielder) has 0 goals and 1 assist in 6 season appearances. For Columbus Crew, Diego Rossi (Midfielder) stands out with 3 goals and 0 assists in 7 season appearances, and Max Arfsten (Attacker) with 1 goal and 2 assists in 7 season appearances. Rudy Camacho (Defender) has an average rating of 6.99 in 7 season appearances.
Goalkeepers
New England's goalkeeper Matt Turner achieved 2 clean sheets in 6 season appearances. Patrick Schulte, Columbus Crew's goalkeeper, recorded 1 clean sheet in 7 season appearances.
Influences
New England benefits from a significant home advantage, scoring an average of 2.00 goals and conceding only 0.20 goals in home games. There is no venue history or weather data available that could influence the match.