Major League Soccer
Sporting KC - Seattle Sounders
05/02/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.7
1.6
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Sporting KC
Seattle Sounders
League
The Lab
- 1Seattle Sounders: first goal in 6 of 7 games (86%)
- 2Sporting KC: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 3Seattle Sounders with Hassani Dotson: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Seattle Sounders: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
26%
Draw
28%
Away Win
46%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
54%
Away or Draw
74%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Clear form disparity: Seattle Sounders with 4 wins and 1 draw, while Sporting KC has 5 consecutive losses
- Pipeline forecast: The analysis favors Seattle Sounders with a 46% win probability
- Defensive performance gap: Seattle Sounders concedes an average of 0.5 goals per game, Sporting KC averages 2.78 goals conceded per game
Risk Factors
- Sporting KC's low goal threat: Recent goal production is stagnant (0.6), below their season average of 0.8
- Sporting KC's tactical inefficiency: Averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Sporting KC's defensive vulnerability: Conceded an average of 2.78 goals per game this season
Overview
Sporting KC (15th place, 4 points) host the Seattle Sounders (4th place, 19 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 2, 2026, 7:30 PM. Sporting KC is battling in the lower ranks of the table, while Seattle is among the top teams and aims to solidify its position
Form
Sporting KC is in a clear crisis of form, recording a streak of LLLLL (0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses) across all competitions. Their last game ended in a 0-5 away loss against Chicago Fire. The Seattle Sounders are in excellent form with a WDWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) record. They won their last game 2-1 at home against Dallas. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Sporting KC scores an average of 0.78 goals per game and concedes an average of 2.78 goals per game this season. Sporting KC kept 0 clean sheets in all season games. For Sporting KC, 5 out of 9 matches ended with both teams scoring and 8 out of 9 matches had over 2.5 goals. At home, Sporting KC scored an average of 0.8 goals and conceded 2.0 goals. The Seattle Sounders score an average of 1.5 goals and concede only 0.5 goals per game. They kept 5 clean sheets in all season games. For Seattle Sounders, 3 out of 8 matches ended with both teams scoring and 3 out of 8 matches had over 2.5 goals. Away from home, Seattle Sounders scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded 0.67 goals
Head-to-Head
In the 4 head-to-head matches between these two teams, Sporting KC recorded 1 win, while the Seattle Sounders emerged victorious 3 times. There were no draws. The goal difference is 6:11 in favor of the Seattle Sounders. The last encounter on August 25, 2025, ended in a 5-2 away win for Seattle Sounders
Key Players
For Sporting KC, Dejan JoveljiÄ (Attacker) is key with 4 goals, 1 assist, and an average rating of 6.86. Manu GarcĆa (Midfielder) contributed 1 assist with a 7.02 rating, and Lasse Berg Johnsen (Midfielder) has 1 goal with a 6.9 rating. For Seattle Sounders, Cristian RoldĆ”n (Midfielder) stands out with 3 goals and a 7.29 rating, Paul Rothrock (Attacker) with 3 goals and 1 assist and a 7.23 rating, and JesĆŗs Ferreira (Attacker) with 1 goal and 4 assists and a 7.1 rating
Goalkeepers
Sporting KC's goalkeeper, Stefan Cleveland, has kept 0 clean sheets this season. Seattle Sounders' goalkeeper, Andrew Thomas, achieved 5 clean sheets in 5 season games
Influences
Sporting KC scored an average of 0.8 goals at home and conceded 2.0 goals. Seattle Sounders scored an average of 1.33 goals away and conceded 0.67 goals