Major League Soccer
Charlotte - DC United
08/22/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Charlotte
DC United
League
The Lab
- 1Charlotte: first goal in 7 of 8 games (88%)
- 2Charlotte: 83% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 3Charlotte with Will Cleary: 2.3 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 4DC United with Peglow: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 5DC United: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
28%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Heavy blow for the visitors: Top scorer Tai Baribo (12 goals this season) is not nominated in the starting XI
- Opposing offensive trends: Charlotte currently scores more with 2.2 goals on average than their season average (1.8), while the visitors stagnate at 1.2 goals
- Historical dominance: Charlotte has won all 4 previous direct duels against DC United, conceding only 1 goal
Risk Factors
- High workload: Both teams play this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Away weakness on artificial turf: DC United has not won a game on this surface this season in 2 matches and remained without a goal
Overview
Charlotte hosts DC United at the Bank of America Stadium
Major League Soccer match on August 22, 2026, 11:30 PM
Charlotte is in 6th place with 29 points, DC United is in 9th place with 24 points
The mathematical model predicts a close match with a home win probability of 40%
Form
Charlotte shows stable form of DWLWD with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches
Most recently, they played out a 3-3 draw away against Toronto
DC United has a form of DWDDL with only 1 win and 3 draws
In their last match, DC United suffered a 0-3 defeat against New England
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Charlotte scores an average of 1.75 goals per game and concedes 1.55 goals
The defense is particularly strong at home, conceding only 0.92 goals per home match
DC United scores an average of 1.35 goals and concedes 1.65 goals per match
Both teams scored in 14 of Charlotte's 20 matches
Head-to-Head
Dominance for the home team in head-to-head matches
Charlotte won all 4 previous meetings against DC United
The goal difference stands at 7-1 in favor of Charlotte
The last direct duel ended in a 1-0 win for Charlotte
Key Players
Pep Biel is the key midfielder for Charlotte with 10 goals, 5 assists, and a 7.27 rating
Ashley Westwood impresses in midfield with 2 goals and 3 assists, showing a rising form trend
Idan Toklomati has contributed 6 goals and 2 assists for Charlotte this season
For DC United, Louis Munteanu is the most dangerous attacker with 5 goals and 2 assists
Keisuke Kurokawa has provided 4 assists as a defender
Not nominated for Charlotte are Liel Abada (2 goals, 4 assists) and Harry Toffolo (2 assists)
Goalkeepers
Kristijan Kahlina guards the goal for Charlotte with a season average rating of 7.06 and 3 clean sheets
Sean Johnson is in goal for DC United and has kept 4 clean sheets
Influences
The match will be played on artificial turf at the Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte has a strong record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses on artificial turf
DC United only secured one draw and one loss in 2 matches on this surface, failing to score
The stadium history shows an average of 3.6 goals per game