Major League Soccer
New York RB - Dallas
05/02/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
New York RB
Dallas
League
The Lab
- 1New York RB with Eric-Maxim Choupo-Moting: 9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2New York RB: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 3New York RB: 74% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 4New York RB: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 5Dallas: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
28%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a close match with a 39% home win and 34% away win
- New York RB's offense shows a positive trend, averaging 2.2 goals recently compared to 1.6 season average
- Red Bull Arena has a high average of 3.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 of 5 matches
Overview
New York RB (11th place, 12 points) host Dallas (8th place, 13 points) at Red Bull Arena
Major League Soccer match on May 3, 2026, 12:30 AM
Both teams are closely matched in points and aim to improve their league standing
Form
New York RB's form in the last five games is W-D-L-D-L
The team achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Dallas shows a form of W-D-D-L-L in their last five games
Dallas recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses and has suffered two consecutive losses recently
Statistics
New York RB scores an average of 1.6 goals per game and concedes 2.5 goals
At home, New York RB averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded in 6 home games
Dallas scores an average of 1.8 goals and concedes 1.5 goals per game
Away from home, Dallas averages 1.67 goals scored and 1 goal conceded in 3 away games
Red Bull Arena records an average of 3.6 total goals per game
In 3 out of 5 games at Red Bull Arena, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between the teams so far
New York RB won this single encounter
The last match on March 10, 2024, ended 2-1 in favor of New York RB
Key Players
For New York RB, Julian Hall (6 goals, 2 assists) and Jorge Ruvalcaba (3 goals) are key offensive players
Ronald Donkor has contributed 1 goal and 3 assists so far
For Dallas, Petar Musa stands out with 9 goals and 1 assist
Osaze Urhoghide with 1 goal and 1 assist and Nolan Norris with 1 goal contribute to the team's performance
Not nominated: Logan Farrington (4 goals/1 assist)
Goalkeepers
Ethan Horvath of New York RB has 10 appearances and 1 clean sheet this season
He has an average season rating of 6.67
Michael Collodi of Dallas has played in 10 games and recorded 2 clean sheets
His average season rating is 6.81
Influences
Home team New York RB scored 9 goals and conceded 9 goals in 6 home games
Dallas scored 5 goals and conceded 3 goals in 3 away games
The playing surface at Red Bull Arena is grass
Red Bull Arena has a history of averaging 3.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches