Major League Soccer
New England - Nashville SC
05/13/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
New England
Nashville SC
League
The Lab
- 1New England: scored only in H2 in 5 consecutive games (5 of 8 total)
- 2Nashville SC with Reed Baker-Whiting: 10.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Nashville SC: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 4New England with Diego Fagúndez: 7.6 goals/90 min. Without: 2 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 5Nashville SC: 75% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
30%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: New England has a 39% home win probability, a draw at 30%, and an away win at 31%
- New England Home Strength: Averaging 1.88 goals scored and only 0.38 goals conceded per home game this season
- Rising Form of Carles Gil: New England's midfielder shows a rising form trend with 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Limited data availability for player duels and weather information
- Nashville SC with only 3 days rest since their last match
Overview
New England (2nd place, 22 points) host Nashville SC (1st place, 24 points) in the Major League Soccer on May 13, 2026, 11:30 PM
This is a top-of-the-table clash where New England aims to close the gap and Nashville SC seeks to extend their lead
Form
New England shows strong form with W-W-D-W-W
This translates to 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
Nashville SC's recent form is W-W-W-D-D
They recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games
New England won their last game, while Nashville SC drew
Statistics
New England scores an average of 1.82 goals per game and concedes 1.18 goals per game
At home, they are particularly strong, averaging 1.88 goals scored and only 0.38 goals conceded per home game
Nashville SC averages 2.09 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.73 goals
Away from home, Nashville SC scores an average of 2.50 goals and concedes 1.00 goal per game
New England has 3 clean sheets, while Nashville SC has 5 clean sheets
The mathematical analysis predicts 1.35 goals for New England and 1.20 goals for Nashville SC
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, New England secured 2 wins, Nashville SC also 2 wins, and there was 1 draw
Nashville SC scored 8 goals in these encounters, compared to New England's 6 goals
The last match was won by Nashville SC with a 4-1 scoreline on February 22, 2026
The historical head-to-head record is even
Key Players
Carles Gil is a vital midfielder for New England with 4 goals and 3 assists this season
His form trend is rising with 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Dor Turgeman in attack contributed 2 season goals and 4 assists
Defender Peyton Miller scored 3 season goals
For Nashville SC, Hany Mukhtar is a key midfielder with 3 goals and 4 assists this season
He has shown consistent performance with 1 goal and 4 assists in the last 5 matches
Forward Warren Madrigal scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists this season
Cristian Espinoza has 3 goals and 3 assists in the current season
Goalkeepers
New England's goalkeeper, Matt Turner, has an average rating of 7.28 and 3 clean sheets this season
Brian Schwake, Nashville SC's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 6.87 and 5 clean sheets
Influences
New England benefits from a strong home advantage, scoring an average of 1.88 goals and conceding only 0.38 goals per home game
Nashville SC also shows good form away from home, with 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per away game