Major League Soccer
Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City
04/19/2026, 01:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
League
The Lab
- 1St. Louis City: 5 of 7 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes
- 2Seattle Sounders: first goal in 4 of 5 games (80%)
- 3Seattle Sounders with Paul Arriola: 4.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (4 of 6 games)
- 4St. Louis City with Sergio CĂłrdova: 1.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (5 of 7 games)
- 5Seattle Sounders: 75% of xG value comes in the second half (last 6 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
47%
Draw
27%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
53%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Seattle Sounders home defense: 0.0 goals conceded in 2 home games, 5 clean sheets overall
- Mathematical analysis: Seattle Sounders have a home win probability of 47%
- St. Louis City away defense: Average of 3.0 goals conceded per away game
Risk Factors
- Seattle Sounders' limited goal threat: Only 50% of usual starting XI strength without Paul Rothrock and JesĂșs Ferreira
- Seattle Sounders' declining goal production (recent 1.0, season average 1.2)
- Positive form trend in St. Louis City's goal production (recent 1.0, season average 0.9)
Overview
Seattle Sounders (5th place, 13 points) host St. Louis City (13th place, 6 points) in a Major League Soccer match. The game is scheduled for April 19, 2026, 2:30 AM. Seattle Sounders aim to solidify their position in the upper half of the table, while St. Louis City seeks to move away from the bottom
Form
Seattle Sounders' last five games show a form of LWWDD, which consists of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their last result was a W against Houston Dynamo. St. Louis City's last five games show a form of LLWDD, indicating 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their last result was a D against Dallas. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Seattle Sounders averaged 1.0 goals scored per game and conceded 0.33 goals per game this season. They kept 5 clean sheets. St. Louis City averaged 0.86 goals scored per game and conceded 1.29 goals per game. St. Louis City has not kept any clean sheets. In home games, Seattle Sounders scored an average of 1.0 goals per game, while conceding 0.0 goals. St. Louis City conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game in away matches
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct encounters between the two teams, Seattle Sounders dominate with 4 wins compared to 1 win for St. Louis City. Overall, Seattle Sounders scored 9 goals, while St. Louis City recorded 3 goals. The last meeting was won by Seattle Sounders on March 8, 2026, with a 1-0 score
Key Players
For Seattle Sounders, Albert RusnĂĄk (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 7.04 rating), Cristian RoldĂĄn (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 7.05 rating), and Kalani Kossa-Rienzi (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 7.20 rating) are key players. For St. Louis City, Marcel Hartel (2 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 7.52 rating), Simon Becher (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 6.81 rating), and Chris Durkin (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg. 7.04 rating) are important
Goalkeepers
Andrew Thomas is the goalkeeper for Seattle Sounders, who have kept 5 clean sheets this season. Roman BĂŒrki guards the goal for St. Louis City, who have not managed to keep a clean sheet this season
Influences
Seattle Sounders showed strong defensive performance in home games with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded. St. Louis City conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game away from home. No data available on weather or venue-specific historical influences