Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake - San Diego
04/19/2026, 01:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.9
3.0
1.2
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
8%3:1
6%1:2
6%What influences the xG?
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
League
The Lab
- 1Real Salt Lake: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 6 games)
- 2San Diego: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 3Real Salt Lake: first goal in 4 of 6 games (67%)
- 4Real Salt Lake: 4 wins in 5 games with xG above 1.0 (80% win rate)
- 5San Diego with Amahl Pellegrino: 3.1 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (5 of 7 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
25%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Real Salt Lake's strong home offense (Avg. 2.33 goals per home game) meets San Diego's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 3.0 goals conceded per away game)
- Real Salt Lake shows a positive form trend with increasing goal production (2.4 in recent games compared to 2.0 season average), while San Diego's goal production is declining (1.4 compared to 2.0 season average)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 53% probability
Risk Factors
- San Diego concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game
- San Diego's goal production has been declining in recent games (1.4 goals) compared to their season average (2.0 goals)
- San Diego is without the suspended C. Mcvey (Red Card) and injured goalkeeper P. Sisniega Fink (Back Injury)
Overview
Real Salt Lake (4th place, 13 points) hosts San Diego (8th place, 11 points) in a Major League Soccer match. The game will be played on April 19, 2026, 2:30 AM. Real Salt Lake aims to consolidate its strong league position, while San Diego will try to climb the table
Form
Real Salt Lake shows strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches (WWWDW). Their last result was a 3-1 win against Sporting KC. San Diego, on the other hand, has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses from their last 5 games (WDDLL) and suffered two recent defeats, including a 1-2 against Minnesota United
Statistics
Real Salt Lake averages 2.0 goals scored per game and concedes 1.33 goals per game this season. In home games, they average 2.33 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded. 5 out of 6 games saw both teams score and over 2.5 total goals. San Diego also averages 2.0 goals scored per game and concedes 1.43 goals per game this season. Away from home, San Diego concedes an average of 3.0 goals per game. 5 out of 7 games had over 2.5 total goals
Head-to-Head
In the 3 direct encounters so far, both teams have secured one win each, and one match ended in a draw. The goal difference is even at 6:6. The last meeting on March 22, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw
Key Players
For Real Salt Lake, Zavier Gozo stands out with 2 goals and 2 assists, an average rating of 7.33, and a rising form trend. Sergi Solans has scored 3 goals in 5 games with stable form. Diego Luna recently scored 2 goals in 5 games. For San Diego, Marcus Ingvartsen (4 goals, 2 assists) and Anders Dreyer (3 goals, 3 assists) are the season's top scorers, both with a declining form trend. Onni Valakari has contributed 3 goals, also with declining form
Goalkeepers
Real Salt Lake's goalkeeper, Rafael Cabral, has played 6 games this season and recorded 0 clean sheets. Duran Ferree, San Diego's goalkeeper, also featured 6 times and managed to keep 1 clean sheet
Influences
Real Salt Lake shows stronger performance at home with an average of 2.33 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded