Major League Soccer
CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union
04/11/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.4
1.6
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
5%What influences the xG?
CF Montréal
Philadelphia Union
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
25%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for CF Montréal with a 42% probability
- Philadelphia Union is in a deep crisis, having lost all 6 season games and earned 0 points
- CF Montréal's improved offensive form is evident in their current average of 1.4 goals, compared to 1.2 goals season average
Risk Factors
- Only 65% of Philadelphia Union's usual starting XI strength is available
- CF Montréal concedes an average of 2.83 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities
- Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
Overview
CF Montréal (13th place, 3 points) host Philadelphia Union (15th place, 0 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 2:30 PM. Both teams are battling at the bottom of the table for crucial points and to catch up.
Form
CF Montréal shows a form of LWLLL with one win and four losses from their last five games. The team has recently suffered three consecutive losses. Philadelphia Union is currently in worse condition with a form of LLLLL, which corresponds to zero wins, zero draws, and five losses. They recorded five consecutive losses. CF Montréal is currently scoring more frequently (averaging 1.4 goals) than their season average (1.2 goals). Philadelphia Union is currently scoring more frequently (averaging 0.8 goals) than their season average (0.7 goals).
Statistics
CF Montréal scores an average of 1.17 goals per game and concedes 2.83 goals per game. The team recorded one clean sheet and all six games had over 2.5 goals. Philadelphia Union scores an average of 0.67 goals and concedes 1.83 goals per game. They kept no clean sheets and four out of six games had over 2.5 goals. Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game. CF Montréal has not played any home games this season, so all season statistics are based on away games.
Head-to-Head
In the four past head-to-head matches, CF Montréal secured one win, while Philadelphia Union won two games. One match ended in a draw. The goal difference is balanced at 8:8 goals. The last encounter was won by Philadelphia Union away with 2:1 on July 16, 2025. Philadelphia Union has been the more dominant team in recent direct encounters.
Key Players
For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu stands out with 4 goals and 1 assist, and an average rating of 7.17, whose form is rising. Wikelman José Carmona Torres contributed 3 goals and 1 assist, with a rating of 7.18. Iván Jaime has 1 assist and a rating of 7.04. For Philadelphia Union, Milan Iloski is an important attacking player with 1 goal and a rating of 6.82. Indiana Vassilev also scored 1 goal and has a rating of 6.66. Frankie Westfield, a defender, provided 1 assist and achieved a rating of 7.12.
Goalkeepers
For CF Montréal, Thomas Guilier is in goal, having kept one clean sheet this season. For Philadelphia Union, Andre Blake is the goalkeeper, who has not recorded any clean sheets this season and has an average rating of 6.77. In his last five games, his average rating was 6.84.
Influences
CF Montréal has not played a home game this season. There is no data available regarding venue influences, weather conditions, or specific pitch surface.