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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire - Vancouver Whitecaps

10/07/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Chicago Fire
1.3
Total xG
3.0
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
CFVW

Chicago Fire

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.13
Declining form (1.4 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.13
Robert Lewandowski on the bench (6 goals, 2 assists)
Andrew Gutman on the bench (1 goals, 4 assists)
19% of goal output missing (only 86% available)

Vancouver Whitecaps

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.35
Attack strength (1.35x league average)
+0.27
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2.2 goals/match)
-0.05
Thomas MĆ¼ller on the bench (9 goals, 6 assists)
Bruno Caicedo on the bench (5 goals, 3 assists)
AndrƩs Cubas on the bench (0 goals, 3 assists)
11% of goal output missing (only 83% available)
Weak away record (1.9 vs 2.4 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.72
+0.72
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Chicago Fire: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Robert Lewandowski: 4 of 6 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Vancouver Whitecaps: goal in the first 15 minutes in 5 of 12 games (42%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

30%

Draw

27%

Away Win

43%

Goals

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

57%

Away or Draw

70%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

61%

No

39%

Key Factors
  • Matchup advantage: Vancouver Whitecaps boast one of the strongest attacks, averaging 2.27 goals per game
  • Squad impact: Chicago Fire are missing Robert Lewandowski (6 goals, 2 assists) and Andrew Gutman (1 goal, 4 assists)
  • Tactical activity: Vancouver Whitecaps averaged 6.6 shots on target in recent matches
Risk Factors
  • Key players missing: Vancouver Whitecaps are without Thomas MĆ¼ller (9 goals, 6 assists), Bruno Caicedo, and AndrĆ©s Cubas
  • Home defensive vulnerability: Chicago Fire concede 1.17 goals per game at Soldier Field
  • Weather conditions: Moderate rain could affect play on the grass surface
Overview

Chicago Fire host Vancouver Whitecaps at Soldier Field

Major League Soccer match on October 7, 2026, 2:30 AM

League leaders Vancouver travel to fifth-placed Chicago

Form

Chicago Fire show the form DDLLW with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last matches

Chicago won their most recent match

Vancouver Whitecaps are in the form LWLWD with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses

Vancouver drew their most recent match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Chicago Fire score an average of 1.77 goals and concede 1.46 goals this season

At home they average 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded

Vancouver Whitecaps score an average of 2.18 goals and concede 1.09 goals away

Both teams scored in 18 out of 26 matches for Chicago

Head-to-Head

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

This single match ended in a 3-1 win for the home team

Goal difference of 3:1 goals in historical statistics

Key Players

Maren Haile-Selassie currently has 8 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 7.13

Philip Zinckernagel contributed 5 goals and 9 assists this season

Brian White is Vancouver's top scorer with 17 goals and 2 assists

Goalkeepers

Josh Cohen is in goal for Chicago and has a season rating of 7.12

Yohei Takaoka kept 11 clean sheets so far this season

Influences

The match is played on natural grass at Soldier Field

The weather is rainy with mild temperatures of 29.71Ā°C

Historically, matches at this venue average 2.8 goals

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