Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake - Portland Timbers
05/02/2026, 08:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers
League
The Lab
- 1Real Salt Lake: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Real Salt Lake with Lukas Engel: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Portland Timbers with Ariel Lassiter: 4.9 goals/90 min. Without: 1.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Real Salt Lake: 2 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (4 points rescued)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
53%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
47%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Real Salt Lake has a home win probability of 53% according to mathematical analysis
- Real Salt Lake's offensive strength is evident with an average of 7.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Portland Timbers concedes an average of 2.75 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities
Risk Factors
- The head-to-head record shows Portland Timbers as more dominant in the last 5 direct encounters (2 wins to 1 win for RSL)
- Limited data available for venue history and detailed duel statistics
Overview
Real Salt Lake (6th place, 16 points) host Portland Timbers (13th place, 10 points) in Major League Soccer
The match will take place on May 2, 2026, 9:45 PM
Real Salt Lake aims to solidify its position in the playoff spots
Form
Real Salt Lake has shown the form DWWLL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) in their last five matches
Their last result was a 1-2 loss away against LA Galaxy
Portland Timbers have shown the form DLWLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) in their last five matches
They recently secured a 2-1 away win against San Diego
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Real Salt Lake scores an average of 1.83 goals and concedes 1.17 goals per home game
Portland Timbers scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 2.75 goals per away game
Overall, Real Salt Lake had both teams score and over 2.5 goals in 7 matches
For Portland Timbers, both teams scored in 7 matches, and 6 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Real Salt Lake recorded 1 win, Portland Timbers had 2 wins, and there were 2 draws
Real Salt Lake scored a total of 5 goals, while Portland Timbers scored 9 goals
The last encounter on October 23, 2025, ended in a 3-1 victory for Portland Timbers
Key Players
For Real Salt Lake, Sergi Solans is a key player with 5 season goals and 1 assist, plus 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Zavier Gozo registered 2 season goals and 3 assists, including 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rising form trend
Diego Luna contributed 2 season goals and 1 assist, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
For Portland Timbers, Kristoffer Velde scored 3 season goals and 2 goals in the last 5 games
Kevin Kelsy scored 2 season goals and 2 goals in the last 5 games
Cole Bassett provided 2 assists in the season and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Real Salt Lake goalkeeper Rafael Cabral has no clean sheets in 9 season appearances
James Pantemis, the Portland Timbers goalkeeper, also recorded no clean sheets in 9 season appearances
Influences
Real Salt Lake scores 1.83 goals at home and concedes 1.17 goals, indicating a home advantage
Portland Timbers concedes an average of 2.75 goals away, suggesting a weak defense on the road