Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy - Real Salt Lake
04/26/2026, 11:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
LA Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
League
The Lab
- 1Real Salt Lake with Lukas Engel: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Real Salt Lake: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 3Real Salt Lake: 5 wins in 6 games with xG above 1.0 (83% win rate)
- 4LA Galaxy: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 5LA Galaxy with H. Miller: 4.6 goals/90 min. Without: 1.8 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
28%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 41% probability and 1.51 expected home goals
- Real Salt Lake shows a strong offense (averaging 2.00 goals per game, 7.2 shots on target in the last 5 games), while LA Galaxy concedes 1.67 goals per game
- The recent head-to-head record shows LA Galaxy's dominance with 2 wins in 4 matches and their last 2:0 victory
Risk Factors
- Real Salt Lake concedes an average of 2.50 goals per away game
- Sergi Solans and Morgan Guilavogui are missing for Real Salt Lake, leaving only 83% of the usual goal threat available
- LA Galaxy and Real Salt Lake both had only 3 days of rest since their last match
Overview
LA Galaxy (13th place, 9 points) host Real Salt Lake (6th place, 16 points)
Major League Soccer match on April 26, 2026, 4:00 PM
The hosts are fighting to catch up to the playoff spots, while the visitors aim to solidify their position in the upper half of the table
Form
LA Galaxy's form is "DLWDL" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The hosts recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last result was a loss
Real Salt Lake's form is "WDWWL"
The visitors achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games
Their last match was also a loss
Real Salt Lake shows stronger recent form with more wins
Statistics
LA Galaxy scores an average of 1.44 goals per season and concedes 1.67 goals
Real Salt Lake shows a stronger offense with an average of 2.00 goals per game, but concedes 1.50 goals
At home, LA Galaxy scores 1.50 goals and concedes 1.25 goals
Real Salt Lake is strong offensively away from home, scoring an average of 2.50 goals but also conceding 2.50 goals
Both teams scored in 8 of LA Galaxy's games, and in 6 of Real Salt Lake's games
7 of LA Galaxy's games and 6 of Real Salt Lake's games ended with over 2.5 goals
LA Galaxy kept 1 clean sheet, while Real Salt Lake kept 0 clean sheets
Head-to-Head
The teams met in 4 head-to-head matches
LA Galaxy won 2 of these encounters, Real Salt Lake won 1, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference of 5:4 slightly favors LA Galaxy
The last direct encounter on June 1, 2025, was won by LA Galaxy with a score of 2:0
LA Galaxy has been the more dominant team in recent matchups
Key Players
For LA Galaxy, Marco Reus (2 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.27), Gabriel Pec (1 goal, 3 assists, average rating 7.37), and Joseph Paintsil (1 goal, 2 assists, average rating 7.16) are key players
Reus shows a declining form trend, while Pec and Paintsil are stable
For Real Salt Lake, Zavier Gozo (2 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.31), Diego Luna (2 goals, 1 assist, average rating 7.47), and Noel Caliskan (0 goals, 2 assists, average rating 7.12) are notable
Gozo shows a rising form trend, while Luna and Caliskan are stable
Goalkeepers
J. Marcinkowski is the goalkeeper for LA Galaxy and has an average rating of 6.65 in 5 season appearances
LA Galaxy has kept 1 clean sheet this season
Rafael Cabral is the goalkeeper for Real Salt Lake and has an average rating of 6.92 in 8 season appearances
Real Salt Lake has kept 0 clean sheets this season
Influences
LA Galaxy scored 6 goals at home and conceded 5 goals in 4 games
Real Salt Lake scored 5 goals away and conceded 5 goals in 2 games