Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union - Columbus Crew
05/16/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.0
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
League
The Lab
- 1Columbus Crew with Dylan Chambost: 1.3 goals/90 min. Without: 5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Columbus Crew: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 3Philadelphia Union: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 4Philadelphia Union: 67% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 5Columbus Crew: 3 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
27%
Away Win
39%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
61%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis shows an away win probability of 39% for Columbus Crew
- Columbus Crew dominates head-to-head matches, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters
- Philadelphia Union shows a positive attacking form with an average of 1.8 goals recently, according to advanced statistics
Risk Factors
- Philadelphia Union had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Columbus Crew had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Columbus Crew concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
Overview
Philadelphia Union (15th place, 6 points) hosts Columbus Crew (13th place, 12 points) at Subaru Park
Major League Soccer match on May 17, 2026, 1:30 AM
Both teams are in the lower half of the league table
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Philadelphia Union's form in the last five games is DLDLL
This includes 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
The last result was a loss
Columbus Crew shows a form of WWLLL
This comprises 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses
The last result was a loss
According to advanced statistics, Philadelphia Union is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 1.8 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.2 goals)
Columbus Crew scores consistently with an average of 1.6 goals per game
Statistics
Philadelphia Union has scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded 1.77 goals
In home games, the team scored 1.0 goals and conceded 2.5 goals
Columbus Crew averages 1.38 goals scored per game and conceded 1.69 goals
In away games, Columbus Crew scored 1.38 goals and conceded 2.0 goals
Philadelphia Union kept 2 clean sheets, Columbus Crew also kept 2 clean sheets
For Philadelphia Union, 8 games ended with both teams scoring (BTTS)
For Columbus Crew, 9 games ended with both teams scoring (BTTS)
8 Philadelphia Union games had over 2.5 goals
9 Columbus Crew games had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
There have been 5 head-to-head matches in total
Columbus Crew won 4 of these games, Philadelphia Union none
One match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 4:9 in favor of Columbus Crew
The last encounter on April 25, 2026, resulted in a 0:2 away win for Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew has been the dominant team in recent matchups
Key Players
For Philadelphia Union, Milan Iloski is an important attacker with 3 season goals and 1 assist
Ben Bender shows a rising form curve with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 2 games
Nathan Harriel, a defender, contributed with 1 goal and 1 assist to the offense
On the side of Columbus Crew, Max Arfsten is a key player with 4 season goals and 4 assists
Diego Rossi scored 5 season goals and 1 assist
Hugo Picard recorded 1 season goal and 2 assists with rising form
Goalkeepers
Andre Blake is the goalkeeper for Philadelphia Union and has recorded 2 clean sheets this season
Patrick Schulte guards the goal for Columbus Crew and also achieved 2 clean sheets
Influences
Philadelphia Union has scored an average of 1.0 goals at home and conceded 2.5 goals
Columbus Crew has scored an average of 1.38 goals away and conceded 2.0 goals