Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy - Colorado Rapids
09/27/2026, 02:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
11%2:1
8%0:1
8%What influences the xG?
LA Galaxy
Colorado Rapids
League
The Lab
- 1Colorado Rapids: 6 of 13 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)
- 2Colorado Rapids: first goal in 8 of 12 games (67%)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
31%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Key Factors
- Not nominated: Marco Reus (7 goals, 7 assists) and Hirving Lozano (1 goal, 1 assist) are missing for the home team
- Both teams averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 40%
Risk Factors
- Colorado Rapids concedes an average of 2.88 goals away from home
- The visitors' goal production has slowed down recently to 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
- Limited data availability on weather conditions
Overview
LA Galaxy (8th place, 33 points) hosts Colorado Rapids (7th place, 36 points)
Major League Soccer match on September 27, 2026, 4:30 AM
A direct battle for playoff spots at Dignity Health Sports Park
Form
LA Galaxy holds a form of LWLDW with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Most recently they secured a 3-2 victory against Minnesota United
Colorado Rapids enters with a form of WLDWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
The visitors recently drew 3-3 against Seattle Sounders
Statistics
LA Galaxy scored 34 goals this season (avg 1.26) and conceded 42 goals (avg 1.56)
At home, the host team scored 15 goals in 12 games while conceding 16
Colorado Rapids scored 36 goals this season (avg 1.38) and conceded 35 goals (avg 1.35)
Away from home, the visitors show an extreme weakness, conceding 23 goals in just 8 games (avg 2.88)
Head-to-Head
A total of 5 head-to-head matches in recent years
LA Galaxy earned 3 wins, Colorado Rapids won 2 games with 0 draws
The last encounter ended in a 4-1 victory for Colorado Rapids on March 8, 2026
LA Galaxy scored 13 goals in this period, while Colorado Rapids scored 7
Key Players
JoĆ£o Klauss is a key attacker for the home side with 6 goals this season
Robert Taylor scored 1 goal with a season rating of 6.86
Calegari stood out recently with 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 matches
Paxten Aaronson leads the visitors with 6 goals and 7 assists and a rating of 7.26
Morgan Whittaker contributed 2 goals in his appearances with a rating of 7.98
Reggie Cannon recently scored 1 goal with a rating of 6.54 in recent matches
Goalkeepers
J. Marcinkowski guards the home goal with a season rating of 7.1
For the visitors, Nicolas Hansen will start, holding a rating of 7.04
LA Galaxy kept 4 clean sheets so far, while Colorado Rapids kept 9 clean sheets
Influences
Dignity Health Sports Park features a grass surface
Stadium statistics show an average of 2.0 goals per game and a 60% BTTS rate
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 40% of these matches