šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø

Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders - New York RB

09/06/2026, 12:30 AM

0 : 0
Expected Goals
Seattle Sounders
1.6
Total xG
3.1
New York RB
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
What influences the xG?
SSNYR

Seattle Sounders

Attack weakness (0.74x league average)
-0.28
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.06
Strong home record (1.7 vs 1.2 goals/match)

New York RB

4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.07
Emil ForsbergĀ  on the bench (3 goals, 4 assists)
Mijahir JimƩnez not in squad (2 goals, 0 assists)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Seattle Sounders: opponent scores first in 10 of 12 games (83%)

  • 2
    Seattle Sounders: 5 goals from minute 80 onwards in the last 12 games (5 of 11 total)

  • 3
    Seattle Sounders: 10 of 24 goals conceded from minute 76 onwards (last 12 games)

  • 4
    Seattle Sounders with Cristian RoldƔn starting: 1.5 goals/game, without him: 0.7 (11/7 games, last 21)

  • 5
    New York RB: 7 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes

  • 6
    New York RB: 38% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 16)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

27%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

63%

No

37%

Key Factors
  • Artificial turf advantage: New York RB lost both of their away matches on artificial turf this season with a 2:8 goal difference
  • Tactical approach: Seattle Sounders averaged 42% possession and 3.4 shots on target in recent matches, playing on the counter
  • Defensive instability: New York RB conceded an average of 2.09 goals per game this season and 2.3 goals in away matches
Risk Factors
  • Weak goal production: Seattle's goal production is stalling recently with an average of 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.2
  • Low offensive activity: Seattle averaged only 3.4 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Data limitation: Limited head-to-head history data between the two teams
Overview

Seattle Sounders (12th place, 26 points) host New York RB (8th place, 26 points) at Lumen Field

Major League Soccer match on September 6, 2026, 2:30 AM

The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 40%

Form

Seattle Sounders are in poor form with no wins in their last five matches

The hosts recorded two draws and three losses (Form: LLLDD)

New York RB registered one win, one draw, and three losses (Form: WLLDL)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Seattle Sounders score an average of 1.14 goals and concede 1.38 goals per game

The hosts kept 5 clean sheets this season

New York RB average 1.45 goals scored but concede 2.09 goals per match

The visitors have managed only 1 clean sheet this campaign

Key Players

Albert RusnĆ”k (3 goals, 7 assists), Cristian RoldĆ”n (3 goals, 1 assist), and Dejan Joveljić (2 goals, 8.16 rating) stand out statistically

Julian Hall (9 goals), Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals), and Cade Cowell (2 goals, 6 assists) deliver key offensive numbers

Not nominated: Emil Forsberg (3 goals, 4 assists) and Mijahir JimƩnez (2 goals)

Goalkeepers

Andrew Thomas has played 21 games for Seattle with an average rating of 7.09

Ethan Horvath started 22 times in goal for New York RB with an average rating of 6.72

Seattle have kept 5 clean sheets this season, while New York RB have only managed 1

Influences

The match will be played on artificial turf at Lumen Field

Seattle's record on artificial turf stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses

New York RB lost both of their matches on this surface this season (0-0-2)

The venue averages 4.0 goals per game

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.