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Major League Soccer

Sporting KC - Los Angeles FC

09/13/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 1
Expected Goals
Sporting KC
1.1
Total xG
2.6
Los Angeles FC
1.5
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
SKLAF

Sporting KC

Attack weakness (0.6x league average)
-0.76
Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 3, 12 places gap)
-0.16
Capita on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Shapi Suleymanov not in squad (1 goals, 1 assists)
Jake Davis not in squad (0 goals, 2 assists)
21% of goal output missing (only 82% available)
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)

Los Angeles FC

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.25
Declining form (1.2 vs 1.8 season average)
-0.17
Standings advantage (pos 3 vs 15, 12 places gap)
+0.09
Mark Delgado not in squad (2 goals, 2 assists)
Jacob Shaffelburg  on the bench (0 goals, 3 assists)
Ryan Hollingshead on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Weak away record (1.3 vs 1.8 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.71
+0.71
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Sporting KC: opponent scores first in 9 of 12 games (75%)

  • 2
    Sporting KC: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Los Angeles FC: 67% of all goals in the first half (12 of 18, last 12 games)

  • 4
    Los Angeles FC: 33% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (6 of 18)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

28%

Draw

29%

Away Win

44%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

56%

Away or Draw

72%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

55%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • League table disparity: 15th-placed Sporting KC faces 3rd-placed Los Angeles FC
  • Historical dominance of the visitors: Los Angeles FC won four of the last five head-to-head matches with a 12-1 goal difference
  • Huge defensive discrepancy: Los Angeles FC kept 13 clean sheets this season, while Sporting KC has kept none
Risk Factors
  • Schedule disadvantage for the visitors: Los Angeles FC had only 3 days of rest since their last match compared to Sporting KC's 7 days
  • Weakened home squad: Sporting KC is missing key players due to injuries, including O. Blorian
  • Away vulnerability of Los Angeles FC: The visitors concede significantly more goals on the road (1.44 per game) than at home (0.69)
Overview

Sporting KC host Los Angeles FC at Children's Mercy Park

Major League Soccer match on September 13, 2026, 2:30 AM

15th-placed Sporting KC with 15 points face 3rd-placed Los Angeles FC with 40 points

Clear favorite role for the visitors from California

Form

Sporting KC is in a crisis with form LDLLL

No wins in their last five matches with four losses and one draw

Los Angeles FC looks more stable with form LDDDW

The visitors recently recorded one win and three draws with only one loss

Statistics

Sporting KC averages 1.0 goals scored and a massive 2.52 goals conceded per game

Zero clean sheets for Sporting KC in the current league season

Los Angeles FC excels defensively with only 0.96 goals conceded per match and 13 clean sheets

The visitors average 1.6 goals scored per league game

Head-to-Head

Historical dominance by Los Angeles FC with four wins in five head-to-head matches

Sporting KC is still waiting for their first win in this matchup alongside one draw

The last meeting on July 26, 2026, ended in a clear 4-0 away victory for Los Angeles FC

The overall goal difference stands at 1-12 against the home team

Key Players

Calvin Harris is a key attacker for Sporting KC with 3 goals and 3 assists

Stephen Afrifa has also scored 3 goals this season

Taylor Calheira shows rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist

Denis Bouanga stands out for Los Angeles FC with 12 goals and 5 assists

Heung-min Son has contributed 5 goals and 9 assists for the visitors

Mathieu Choinière controls the midfield with 2 goals and 3 assists

Goalkeepers

Stefan Cleveland is in goal for Sporting KC and has yet to record a clean sheet

Hugo Lloris guards the net for Los Angeles FC and shines with 13 clean sheets this season

Influences

Home advantage for Sporting KC at Children's Mercy Park on grass

Sporting KC conceded an average of 1.75 goals per game at home

Los Angeles FC conceded an average of 1.44 goals in away matches

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