🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

Nashville SC - Chicago Fire

09/20/2026, 01:30 AM

3 : 0
Expected Goals
Nashville SC
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Chicago Fire
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
NSCF

Nashville SC

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.87
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
-0.08
W. Madrigal Molina not in squad (5 goals, 3 assists)

Chicago Fire

Defensive strength (1.5 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.8 goals/match)
-0.05
Weak away record (1.5 vs 2 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Nashville SC: first goal in 9 of 11 games (82%)

  • 2
    Chicago Fire: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 3
    Chicago Fire: 33% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (7 of 21)

  • 4
    Robert Lewandowski: 4 of 6 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)

  • 5
    Chicago Fire: goal in the first 15 minutes in 5 of 12 games (42%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

29%

Away Win

33%

Goals

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67%

Away or Draw

62%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

57%

No

43%

Key Factors
  • Home advantage and strong defense: Nashville concedes only 0.67 goals per home game on average
  • Form discrepancy: Nashville is first in the league with form WWDLD, while Chicago is winless in their last five matches
  • Tactical focus: Chicago averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches with balanced possession of 54%
Risk Factors
  • Defensive decline: Nashville concedes 1.5 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 0.95
  • Strong opponent threat: Chicago averaged 6.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Last meeting lost: Chicago won the last head-to-head encounter 1-0 in April 2026
Overview

Nashville SC hosts Chicago Fire at GEODIS Park

Major League Soccer match on September 20, 2026, 3:30 AM

Table leaders Nashville face fifth-placed Chicago

Form

Nashville SC with form WWDLD in the last five matches

Most recently recorded a draw against Inter Miami

Chicago Fire shows a streak of DDDDL

The visitors are winless in their last five games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Nashville SC scores an average of 2.0 goals per game and concedes 0.84

In home games, their conceded goals average is even lower at 0.67 per match

Chicago Fire scores an average of 1.88 goals and concedes 1.46

In away games, Chicago concedes an average of 1.75 goals

Head-to-Head

Five head-to-head matches in history

Nashville SC took four wins, Chicago Fire won once

The goal difference stands at 13:3 for Nashville

The last meeting ended 1-0 for Chicago

Key Players

Hany Mukhtar with 10 goals and 6 assists

Sam Surridge has already scored 15 season goals

Cristian Espinoza delivered 9 assists with a 7.30 rating

Philip Zinckernagel impresses with 5 goals and 9 assists

Maren Haile-Selassie has already scored 8 times this season

Robert Lewandowski stands at 6 goals and 2 assists

Goalkeepers

Brian Schwake has an average rating of 7.07

His team Nashville SC has kept 11 clean sheets this season

Chris Brady stands at an average rating of 6.85

With him in goal, Chicago Fire recorded 6 clean sheets so far

Influences

The match is played at GEODIS Park on natural grass

Nashville's home record shows an average of 2.0 scored and only 0.67 conceded goals per home game

In the last five matches at this venue, an average of 3.2 goals were scored

The rate for over 2.5 goals at this venue was recently at 60%

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.