Major League Soccer
Minnesota United - LA Galaxy
09/20/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.9
2.9
1.0
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%3:0
6%What influences the xG?
Minnesota United
LA Galaxy
League
The Lab
- 1Minnesota United: opponent scores first in 9 of 11 games (82%)
- 2LA Galaxy: dropped a lead in 4 of 6 games (8 points lost)
- 3Minnesota United: 33% of all goals between minutes 61-75 (7 of 21)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
25%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Critical absence for the visitors: Without Marco Reus, only 36% of the usual goal threat is available
- Minnesota United averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches
- The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 55%
Risk Factors
- Minnesota United concedes a high average of 1.72 goals per match this season
- LA Galaxy concedes an average of 1.85 goals in away matches
- Slump in form for Minnesota United with 3 consecutive losses recently
Overview
Minnesota United host LA Galaxy at Allianz Field
Major League Soccer match on September 20, 2026, 2:30 AM
Minnesota United is in 12th place with 29 points
LA Galaxy occupies 10th place with 30 points
A key matchup in the middle of the standings
Form
Minnesota United form: WDLLL
LA Galaxy form: DLWLD
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Minnesota United has 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent matches
LA Galaxy recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Statistics
Minnesota United averages 1.48 goals scored and 1.72 goals conceded per match
At home, the team has scored 12 goals and conceded 13 in 8 games
LA Galaxy averages 1.19 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded
On the road, LA Galaxy concedes an average of 1.85 goals per game
Minnesota United currently scores more frequently with an average of 3.0 goals compared to their season average
Head-to-Head
5 head-to-head matches in the database
LA Galaxy leads with 3 wins to 1 win for Minnesota United and 1 draw
Goal difference of 13 to 8 goals in favor of LA Galaxy
The last head-to-head match ended 2:1 on April 5, 2026
Key Players
Kelvin Yeboah has scored 13 goals and provided 2 assists in 24 matches with a rising form
JoaquĂn Pereyra recorded 3 goals and 10 assists in 25 games showing excellent form
Anthony Markanich Jr. contributed 7 goals and 3 assists in 25 appearances
Hirving Lozano has 1 goal and 1 assist in 7 appearances with a rating of 7.09
Robert Taylor has scored 1 goal in 11 games with a season rating of 6.86
Calegari holds a season rating of 7.40 with 1 goal and 1 assist in recent matches
Goalkeepers
Drake Callender made 25 appearances with a rating of 6.79 and a declining form trend
J. Marcinkowski played 20 matches with a rating of 7.13 and a rising form trend
Minnesota United has achieved 5 clean sheets this season
LA Galaxy has recorded 4 clean sheets so far
Influences
The match takes place at Allianz Field with a grass surface
The venue averages 2.8 total goals per match
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches at this stadium
Minnesota United concedes an average of 1.62 goals at home
LA Galaxy concedes an average of 1.85 goals in away matches