Major League Soccer
Sporting KC - SJ Earthquakes
04/12/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.1
3.0
1.8
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
9%2:1
6%1:3
6%What influences the xG?
Sporting KC
SJ Earthquakes
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
22%
Draw
26%
Away Win
52%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
48%
Away or Draw
78%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- SJ Earthquakes are in 3rd place with 15 points and show significantly better form than Sporting KC (15th place, 4 points)
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for SJ Earthquakes with a 52% probability
- SJ Earthquakes display a very stable defense, conceding an average of 0.17 goals per game, while Sporting KC concedes an average of 2.33 goals
Risk Factors
- Sporting KC shows high defensive vulnerability, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game
- Sporting KC failed to score in 2 of their 6 season matches so far
- SJ Earthquakes' goal production recently stagnated (1.4 goals) compared to their season average (1.7 goals)
Overview
Sporting KC (15th place, 4 points) host SJ Earthquakes (3rd place, 15 points) in Major League Soccer
The match takes place on April 12, 2026, 12:30 AM
The Earthquakes enter the game as clear favorites and aim to continue their impressive form
Form
Sporting KC's form in the last five matches is DLWLL
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
They recently suffered two consecutive losses
The SJ Earthquakes are in excellent shape with a form of WWLWW
This corresponds to 4 wins and 1 loss from their last five games
The team has achieved two consecutive wins
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Sporting KC scores an average of 1.0 goal per game and concedes an average of 2.33 goals this season
In 4 of their games, both teams scored, and 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
SJ Earthquakes are offensively stronger this season with an average of 1.67 goals per game and defensively very stable with only 0.17 goals conceded per match
They achieved 5 clean sheets and in none of their games did both teams score
Sporting KC's home record shows an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.33 goals conceded
SJ Earthquakes' away record is impressive with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.0 goals conceded
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head matches, the record is balanced
Sporting KC won 3 games, and SJ Earthquakes secured 2 wins
The goal difference stands at 10:10
The last encounter on February 22, 2026, ended in a 3-0 away victory for SJ Earthquakes
Key Players
Sporting KC:
Dejan JoveljiÄ scored 4 season goals and 0 assists with an average rating of 6.96
He scored 2 times in the last 5 games
Manu GarcĆa provided 1 assist this season and achieved an average rating of 7.24
Shapi Suleymanov contributed 1 season goal and his form is stable
SJ Earthquakes:
Niko Tsakiris showed a strong performance with 2 season goals and an average rating of 7.67
He also scored 2 times in the last 5 games
Preston Judd leads the team's scorers with 3 season goals and 1 assist
He scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games
Ousseni Bouda scored 2 times this season and also 2 times in the last 5 games
Jamar Ricketts (0G/2A) is not nominated
Goalkeepers
Sporting KC goalkeeper John Pulskamp has not kept any clean sheets this season
Daniel, the SJ Earthquakes goalkeeper, has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Influences
Sporting KC concedes an average of 2.33 goals per home game
SJ Earthquakes show a strong defense away, having conceded no goals in their only away game