Major League Soccer
Minnesota United - Portland Timbers
04/19/2026, 12:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.1
1.3
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Minnesota United
Portland Timbers
League
The Lab
- 1Portland Timbers with Ariel Lassiter: 5.5 goals/90 min. Without: 1.5 goals/90 min (5 of 7 games)
- 2Kelvin Yeboah: 3 of 4 goals after minute 60 (last 7 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
26%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis shows a higher probability of 45% for a Minnesota United home win
- Minnesota United's good current form with two wins in their last two matches
- Portland Timbers' defensive vulnerability away from home with an average of 2.67 goals conceded per game
Risk Factors
- Minnesota United's season average of 1.86 goals conceded per game indicates defensive vulnerability
- Portland Timbers has a weak away defense with an average of 2.67 goals conceded per away game
- The pipeline analysis calculates a 62% probability for both teams to score
Overview
Minnesota United hosts Portland Timbers in a Major League Soccer match at Allianz Field on April 19, 2026, 2:30 AM
Minnesota United is in 9th place with 11 points, while Portland Timbers is in 12th place with 7 points
Both teams are in the middle of the table
Form
Minnesota United's form in all competitions is LLDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The last result was a win
Portland Timbers' form is LLDLW
The Timbers recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
The last result was a win
Statistics
Minnesota United scores an average of 1.14 goals per game and concedes 1.86 goals
The team kept 2 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 4 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 matches
Portland Timbers scores an average of 1.57 goals per game and concedes 2.29 goals
The Timbers kept 0 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 6 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 matches
Minnesota United scored 1 goal and conceded 0 goals in their only home game
Portland Timbers conceded an average of 2.67 goals in 3 away games
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, Minnesota United and Portland Timbers each have 1 win
2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is even at 6:6
The last head-to-head match ended in a 1:1 draw on August 31, 2025
Key Players
For Minnesota United, Kelvin Yeboah (4 season goals) and TomĂĄs Chancalay (3 season assists) stand out
JoaquĂn Pereyra also contributed 3 season assists
For Portland Timbers, Kristoffer Velde is an important attacking player with 3 season goals
Cole Bassett provided 2 season assists
Antony contributed 1 season goal and 1 season assist
Goalkeepers
Minnesota United's goalkeeper Drake Callender had 7 season appearances with an average rating of 6.85
Minnesota United recorded 2 clean sheets
Portland Timbers' goalkeeper James Pantemis had 7 season appearances with an average rating of 6.99
Portland Timbers recorded 0 clean sheets
Influences
Minnesota United scored 1 goal and conceded none in their only home game
Portland Timbers concede an average of 2.67 goals per away game
The home team has shown a counter-attacking style in the last 5 games with an average of 40% possession
The visitors have averaged 46% possession in their last 5 games