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Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew - New England

08/30/2026, 08:30 PM

1 : 3
Expected Goals
Columbus Crew
1.2
Total xG
2.9
New England
1.6
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
CCNE

Columbus Crew

Attack weakness (0.78x league average)
-0.75
Standings disadvantage (pos 15 vs 5, 10 places gap)
-0.14
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
+0.03
DĂĄniel Gazdag not in squad (3 goals, 0 assists)
Dylan Chambost on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
57% of goal output missing (only 56% available)

New England

Attack strength (1.37x league average)
+0.34
Small sample (9 matches) - regression to mean
-0.15
Standings advantage (pos 5 vs 15, 10 places gap)
+0.08
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.07
Defensive strength (1.3 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.06

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Columbus Crew: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)

  • 2
    Columbus Crew: 41% of all goals between minutes 31-45 (7 of 17)

  • 3
    Columbus Crew: 65% of all goals in the first half (11 of 17, last 12 games)

  • 4
    Columbus Crew: opponent scores first in 8 of 12 games (67%)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

27%

Draw

27%

Away Win

45%

Goals

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

55%

Away or Draw

73%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

58%

No

42%

Key Factors
  • New England recently averaged 5.4 shots on target, whereas Columbus Crew averaged only 3.4 in their recent matches
  • The mathematical model favors the visitors, calculating a 45% probability for a New England victory
  • Columbus Crew enters this match on a negative run of three consecutive losses, while the visitors are much more solid in 5th place
Risk Factors
  • DĂĄniel Gazdag and Dylan Chambost are missing, leaving the hosts with only 56% of their usual goal threat available
  • New England concedes an average of 2.14 goals per away match
  • The visitors' recent form trend is negative, with their goal production dropping to 1.4 goals recently
Overview

Columbus Crew hosts New England at Lower.com Field

MLS match on August 30, 2026, 8:30 PM

The hosts are in 15th place with 20 points

New England travels as the 5th-placed team with 34 points

Form

Columbus Crew shows a form of WDLLL

Summary: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses

The hosts are currently on a three-match losing streak

New England holds a form of DLLWD

Summary: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses

Statistics

Columbus Crew scored 30 goals in 21 games (average 1.43)

The defense conceded an average of 1.71 goals per game

New England scored 33 goals (average 1.57)

In away games, the visitors conceded an average of 2.14 goals

Head-to-Head

There have been 5 head-to-head matches between the teams

Columbus Crew has 3 wins, while New England has 2 wins

No draws recorded in these encounters

Goal ratio is 12 to 5 in favor of Columbus Crew

The last match ended 2-1 for New England

Key Players

Key players for the hosts include Mohamed Farsi (1 goal, 2 assists, 6.93 rating) and André Gomes (1 goal)

Josef MartĂ­nez scored once in recent matches

For the visitors, Carles Gil impresses with 7 goals, 3 assists, and 7.51 rating

Peyton Miller contributed 4 goals and 3 assists

Goalkeepers

Patrick Schulte starts in goal for the hosts (season rating 6.62)

He has recorded 3 clean sheets so far this season

Matt Turner guards the goal for the visitors (rating 7.2)

He has registered 5 clean sheets in this campaign

Influences

The match will be played on natural grass at Lower.com Field

Columbus Crew scored 13 home goals and conceded 11

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at this stadium

An average of 2.6 goals are scored per match at this venue

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