Major League Soccer
Colorado Rapids - St. Louis City
05/10/2026, 01:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.0
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
League
The Lab
- 1St. Louis City with Lukas MacNaughton: 2.6 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2St. Louis City: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 3St. Louis City: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes
- 4Colorado Rapids with Keegan RosenberryĀ : 6.8 goals/90 min. Without: 0.7 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 5Colorado Rapids: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
40%
Draw
27%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
60%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: A home win for Colorado Rapids is calculated with a probability of 40%
- Colorado Rapids' Home Strength: The home team scores an average of 2.0 goals per game at home and concedes only 0.86 goals
- Historical Dominance: Colorado Rapids won 3 of 4 head-to-head matches against St. Louis City
Risk Factors
- Away Weakness: St. Louis City concedes an average of 4.0 goals per away game
Overview
Colorado Rapids (9th place, 13 points) host St. Louis City (14th place, 6 points) in Major League Soccer on May 10, 2026, 3:30 AM. The Rapids aim to recover from their recent dip in form, while St. Louis City tries to stay connected with the mid-table
Form
Colorado Rapids is in a difficult phase with a form of WLDLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their last two matches ended in defeat. St. Louis City shows a form of DDLLL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) and has lost their last three matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Colorado Rapids scores an average of 2.0 goals and concedes 1.73 goals per game this season. At home, they are offensively strong (avg 2.0 goals) and defensively stable (avg 0.86 goals conceded). For Colorado, over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 matches and both teams scored in 7 matches. St. Louis City averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game. Away, they are vulnerable, conceding an average of 4.0 goals while scoring 1.0. For St. Louis, over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches and both teams scored in 6 matches
Head-to-Head
In four previous head-to-head matches, Colorado Rapids dominated with 3 wins and 1 draw, while St. Louis City recorded no victories. Colorado scored 8 goals, St. Louis only 1 goal. The last encounter ended in a 1-0 win for Colorado on May 25, 2025
Key Players
For Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro with 7 goals and 3 assists, and Darren Yapi with 3 goals and 2 assists are important attacking forces. Paxten Aaronson contributes 3 goals and 1 assist. Rafael Navarro's and Paxten Aaronson's form trends are declining. Wayne Frederick (1 goal, 2 assists) is not nominated. For St. Louis City, Marcel Hartel stands out with 3 goals and 1 assist, as does Simon Becher with 1 goal and 2 assists. Timo Baumgartl scored 1 seasonal goal
Goalkeepers
Colorado Rapids, with goalkeeper Nicolas Hansen in the starting lineup, managed 2 clean sheets this season. For St. Louis City, with Roman BĆ¼rki in goal, the team failed to keep a single clean sheet this season
Influences
Colorado Rapids performs as an offensively strong team at home with an average of 2.0 goals and a stable defense that allows only 0.86 goals conceded per home game. St. Louis City is defensively vulnerable away, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per away game