Major League Soccer
Colorado Rapids - Inter Miami
04/18/2026, 08:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.0
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
League
The Lab
- 1Colorado Rapids: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 2Colorado Rapids: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 7 games)
- 3Colorado Rapids: 4 wins in 4 games with xG above 1.0 (100% win rate)
- 4Colorado Rapids with Noah Cobb: 8.4 goals/90 min. Without: 2.3 goals/90 min (4 of 7 games)
- 5Inter Miami with Gonzalo LujƔn: 4.6 goals/90 min. Without: 2 goals/90 min (5 of 7 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
27%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Colorado Rapids' Home Strength: The team averages 3.0 goals scored at home and concedes only 0.75 goals, representing a clear home advantage.
- Offensive Potential of Both Teams: Colorado is currently scoring more frequently (3.4) than their season average (2.7), while Inter Miami consistently scores around 2.2 goals per game.
- High Scoring Probability: The mathematical analysis predicts a 45% home win for Colorado Rapids, with expected home goals of 1.67 and away goals of 1.28. Additionally, there's a 57% probability for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
Risk Factors
- Inter Miami's Draw Tendency: Inter Miami has drawn three of their last five matches, including two consecutive draws.
- Defensive Vulnerabilities of Both Teams: Both teams have conceded an average of 1.71 goals per game this season.
Overview
Colorado Rapids (6th place, 12 points) host Inter Miami (3rd place, 12 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 18, 2026, at 8:30 PM. Both teams are level on 12 points in the upper mid-table.
Form
Colorado Rapids show fluctuating form with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games (Form: WLWLW). They recently won their home game convincingly 6-2. Inter Miami is unbeaten in 5 games with 2 wins and 3 draws (Form: WDWDD). They have drawn their last two matches consecutively. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Colorado Rapids are offensively strong with an average of 2.71 goals per game this season and 3.0 home goals per game while conceding only 0.75 goals at home. Overall, they concede 1.71 goals per game. Inter Miami scores an average of 1.86 goals per match and also concedes 1.71 goals. Away from home, they score 1.8 goals and concede 1.6 goals. Both teams have seen both teams score in 5 out of 7 season games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 (Colorado) and 6 (Miami) matches respectively.
Head-to-Head
The teams have met only once before. This single head-to-head encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on April 6, 2024. Both teams scored 2 goals each, indicating an even historical record.
Key Players
For Colorado Rapids, Rafael Navarro stands out with 5 season goals and 3 assists, along with Paxten Aaronson contributing 3 goals and 1 assist. Defender Kosi Thompson has scored 2 goals in 2 appearances. Not nominated are Darren Yapi (2G/2A) and Dante Sealy (0G/2A). For Inter Miami, Lionel Messi is the top scorer with 5 season goals and 1 assist. Mateo Silvetti records 2 goals and 1 assist, while midfielder Telasco Segovia has 1 goal and 3 assists this season.
Goalkeepers
Zack Steffen is in goal for Colorado Rapids, having played 5 season games. Inter Miami's goalkeeper is Dayne St. Clair with 6 season appearances. Both teams recorded one clean sheet this season.
Influences
Colorado Rapids show particular strength at home, averaging 3.0 goals scored and conceding only 0.75 goals per home game. Inter Miami scores an average of 1.8 goals away and concedes 1.6 goals per game.