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Major League Soccer

Vancouver Whitecaps - Dallas

08/23/2026, 01:30 AM

5 : 0
Expected Goals
Vancouver Whitecaps
2.1
Total xG
3.0
Dallas
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
What influences the xG?
VWDAL

Vancouver Whitecaps

Defensive strength (1 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.83
Attack strength (1.44x league average)
+0.39
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.31
Declining form (1.5 vs 2.2 season average)
-0.22
MathĆ­as Laborda on the bench (3 goals, 3 assists)
Cheikh Sabaly on the bench (2 goals, 1 assists)
Jeevan Badwal not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)

Dallas

Defensive strength (1.6 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
+0.25
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.6 goals/match)
-0.15
Petar Musa on the bench (16 goals, 2 assists)
JoaquĆ­n Valiente on the bench (1 goals, 6 assists)
Santiago Moreno on the bench (2 goals, 2 assists)
Patrickson Delgado on the bench (3 goals, 0 assists)
Osaze Urhoghide on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Herman Johansson on the bench (0 goals, 2 assists)
Kaick on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
45% of goal output missing (only 57% available)
Weak away record (1.5 vs 2.1 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Dallas: first goal in 6 of 7 games (86%)

  • 2
    Vancouver Whitecaps with Oliver Larraz: 1 goals/game. Without: 3.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Dallas with Ramiro: 2.6 goals/game. Without: 0.7 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 4
    Dallas: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

23%

Away Win

15%

Goals

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

85%

Away or Draw

38%

No Draw

77%

Both Score

Yes

56%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • Severe squad disadvantage: Dallas is missing 7 key players through injury or non-selection leaving them with only 58% of their usual starting strength
  • Artificial turf specialists: Vancouver is highly efficient on their home turf winning 7 out of 10 matches with a goal ratio of 24 to 7
  • Possession dominance: Vancouver controlled recent matches with an average of 62% possession to dictate the game
Risk Factors
  • Short recovery: Both teams face fatigue with only 3 days of rest since their last competitive match
  • Dipping form of the hosts: Vancouver's recent form trend is negative and their goal average has dropped to 1.5 per game compared to the season average of 2.2
Overview

Vancouver Whitecaps host Dallas

Major League Soccer match on August 23, 2026, 3:30 AM

Second place faces fifth place in the standings

Crucial points are at stake for both teams in the upper tier of the league

Form

Vancouver enters in mixed form with LDDWL in their recent matches

Most recently they suffered a narrow 0-1 home loss against Houston Dynamo

Dallas travels with a slightly better recent record of DLDWW

The visitors are coming off a high-scoring 4-3 victory against Real Salt Lake

Statistics

Vancouver averages a high of 2.11 goals scored per match this season

At home the Whitecaps are incredibly dominant scoring 2.2 and conceding only 0.6 goals on average

Dallas scores 1.9 goals on average but also concedes 1.45 goals per game

When playing away from home Dallas has a respectable defensive average of 1.18 goals conceded

Head-to-Head

There have been 5 head-to-head encounters between the two clubs

Vancouver earned 3 wins while Dallas managed to win only 1 match

Their last direct meeting ended in a tight 3-2 away victory for Vancouver

The overall goals stand at 9 to 5 in favor of the Canadian side

Key Players

Attacker Brian White has been highly productive with 10 goals and 2 assists this season

Thomas MĆ¼ller has contributed significantly with 6 goals and 2 assists

For the visitors Logan Farrington is the main threat having registered 6 goals and 2 assists

Goalkeepers

Yohei Takaoka has made 18 appearances this season recording 7 clean sheets

Jonathan Sirois has started 6 matches in goal for the visiting side

Both teams rely heavily on their goalkeepers to secure key points

Influences

The match takes place at BC Place Stadium on an artificial turf pitch

Vancouver is highly comfortable on this surface with 7 wins out of 10 matches

Dallas has yet to register a victory on artificial turf this season

This surface record heavily underlines Vancouver's strong home advantage

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