Major League Soccer
New England - Philadelphia Union
05/09/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.7
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
New England
Philadelphia Union
League
The Lab
- 1New England: scored only in H2 in 4 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 2New England with Jackson Yueill: 11.1 goals/90 min. Without: 1.6 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Philadelphia Union with Alejandro Bedoya : 4.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0.3 goals/90 min (4 of 8 games)
- 4Philadelphia Union: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 5Philadelphia Union: 72% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
43%
Draw
29%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
57%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- New England's home strength: The team averaged 1.86 home goals scored and conceded only 0.29 goals per home game
- New England's current form: Five consecutive games unbeaten, with 4 wins and 1 draw
- Philadelphia Union's weak away record: Only 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 away games
Risk Factors
- Historical dominance of Philadelphia Union: The away team won all 4 head-to-head matches
- New England's goal production stagnates: Recently averaged 1.4 goals compared to season average of 1.8
Overview
New England (3rd place, 19 points) host Philadelphia Union (15th place, 6 points) in Major League Soccer on May 10, 2026, 12:30 AM. New England aims to solidify its strong table position. Philadelphia Union is fighting for crucial points at the bottom of the table to avoid relegation.
Form
New England shows strong form with WWWDW in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw). Their last game was a win against Charlotte. Philadelphia Union, on the other hand, has mixed form with WDDLD in their last five matches (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). Their last match ended in a draw against Nashville SC. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
New England has scored an average of 1.8 goals per game this season and conceded 1.2 goals. At home, the team is particularly strong with an average of 1.86 goals scored and only 0.29 goals conceded per home game. Both teams scored in 6 out of 10 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches. Philadelphia Union averages only 0.82 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded. Away from home, their average is 0.78 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per game. Both teams scored in 6 out of 11 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches.
Head-to-Head
In 4 previous head-to-head encounters, Philadelphia Union dominated with 4 wins, while New England has yet to secure a victory. The goal difference is 1:11 in favor of Philadelphia Union. The last meeting on September 20, 2025, ended in a 1:0 win for Philadelphia Union.
Key Players
For New England, midfielder Carles Gil is a key player with 3 goals and 2 assists, holding a season average rating of 7.36. He showed stable form in the last 5 games with 3 goals and 1 assist. Attacker Luca Langoni contributed 1 goal and 6 assists with a rating of 6.98. Dor Turgeman, also in attack, scored 2 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 6.96, showing stable form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games. For Philadelphia Union, Milan Iloski is the top attacker with 2 goals and 1 assist and an average rating of 6.99. Midfielder Danley Jean Jacques has scored 2 goals with a rating of 6.84. Defender Nathan Harriel contributed 1 goal and has an average rating of 7.00.
Goalkeepers
New England's goalkeeper, Matt Turner, has a season average rating of 7.38 and kept 3 clean sheets. Andre Blake, Philadelphia Union's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 6.80 and recorded 2 clean sheets.
Influences
New England demonstrates a strong home advantage, averaging 1.86 goals scored and only 0.29 goals conceded per home game. Philadelphia Union, conversely, scores an average of 0.78 goals and concedes 1.33 goals per away game.