Major League Soccer
New York RB - Columbus Crew
05/13/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
3.2
1.8
1:1
11%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
7%What influences the xG?
New York RB
Columbus Crew
League
The Lab
- 1Columbus Crew: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2New York RB with Robert Voloder: 2.3 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Columbus Crew: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 4New York RB: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 5Columbus Crew with AndrƩs Herrera: 1.6 goals/90 min. Without: 4.7 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
25%
Away Win
46%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
54%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Columbus Crew with 46%
- Columbus Crew dominated recent head-to-head matches, winning the last encounter 3:1
- New York RB conceded an average of 2.33 goals per game this season, indicating a defensive weakness
Risk Factors
- Columbus Crew is missing Diego Rossi, with only 70% of the usual starting XI goal production available
- Columbus Crew had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Columbus Crew conceded an average of 1.86 goals per away game
Overview
New York RB (9th place, 15 points) host Columbus Crew (11th place, 12 points) at Red Bull Arena
Major League Soccer match on May 13, 2026, 11:30 PM
Both teams are in the middle of the table and aim to improve their standings
Form
New York RB's form across all competitions is LDLLW
The team recently recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Columbus Crew's form across all competitions is LWWLL
They have achieved 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
New York RB averages 1.58 goals scored per game and concedes 2.33 goals
Columbus Crew averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.58 goals
New York RB has seen both teams score in 8 out of 12 games (BTTS)
Columbus Crew has seen both teams score in 8 out of 12 games (BTTS)
An average of 4.2 goals are scored per game at Red Bull Arena
In 4 out of 5 games at this stadium, both teams scored (BTTS rate 80%)
3 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals (Over 2.5 rate 60%)
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, New York RB secured 1 win
Columbus Crew won 2 encounters, while 2 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is 6:8 in favor of Columbus Crew
The last meeting on October 18, 2025, ended in a 3:1 victory for Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew dominated recent matchups
Key Players
Jorge Ruvalcaba is an important attacker with 4 season goals
Ronald Donkor shines with 1 season goal and 4 assists
Julian Hall has scored 6 season goals and provided 2 assists
Max Arfsten showed goal threat with 3 season goals and 4 assists
Taha Habroune is a midfield engine with 1 season goal and 2 assists
Hugo Picard contributed 1 season goal and 1 assist
Goalkeepers
Ethan Horvath of New York RB has achieved 1 clean sheet this season
Patrick Schulte of Columbus Crew has kept 2 clean sheets
Influences
New York RB scored an average of 1.5 goals in home games and conceded 1.83 goals
Columbus Crew scored an average of 1.29 goals away and conceded 1.86 goals
Red Bull Arena has seen an average of 4.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches
The probability of both teams scoring is 80% at this stadium
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the last 5 games at Red Bull Arena