Major League Soccer
Atlanta United - Charlotte
08/29/2026, 11:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Atlanta United
Charlotte
League
The Lab
- 1Tristan Muyumba: 4 of 4 goals after minute 60 (last 12 games)
- 2Atlanta United: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 12 games)
- 3Atlanta United: scored only after the break in 6 of 12 games
- 4Atlanta United: 6 of 12 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
28%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Atlanta United shows rising form with 3 consecutive wins recently
- Charlotte averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches, showing strong offensive threat
- Charlotte proves highly adaptable on artificial turf with 5 wins in 10 games
Risk Factors
- Charlotte concedes an average of 2.71 goals per away match
- Atlanta United averaged only 3.4 shots on target per game recently
Overview
Atlanta United (14th place, 21 points) host Charlotte (5th place, 32 points) at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Major League Soccer match on August 29, 2026, 11:30 PM
Charlotte is competing in the upper part of the table, while Atlanta United aims to recover ground
Form
Atlanta United shows form LLWWW with 3 wins and 2 losses
They are on a three-game winning streak, recently beating Sporting KC 2-1
Charlotte enters with form WLWDW, recording 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their last match ended in a 3-1 victory against DC United
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Atlanta United scores an average of 1.19 goals and concedes 1.71 goals per game this season
In home games, their average is 1.15 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded
Charlotte scores an average of 1.81 goals and concedes 1.52 goals per match
Away from home, Charlotte scores an average of 1.71 goals but concedes 2.71 goals
Both teams scored in 14 out of 21 games for Atlanta United
Head-to-Head
5 head-to-head matches in history
Atlanta United secured 1 win, Charlotte recorded 3 wins with 1 draw
The goal difference stands at 7:10 in favor of Charlotte
The last direct encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on July 23, 2026
Key Players
Aleksey Miranchuk scored 5 goals and provided 7 assists in 20 season appearances
Miguel AlmirĆ³n shines with an average rating of 7.44 this season
Tristan Muyumba scored 3 goals in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.32
Pep Biel leads the visitors with 11 goals and 6 assists this season, holding a 7.34 rating
Idan Toklomati has contributed 6 goals and 2 assists so far this season
Liel Abada provided 3 assists in his last 5 matches
Goalkeepers
Lucas Hoyos is in goal for the home team, carrying a season rating of 6.72 with 1 clean sheet
Kristijan Kahlina guards the visitors' goal with a season rating of 7.09 and 3 clean sheets
Influences
The match is played on artificial turf at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta United has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses on artificial turf
Charlotte is strong on this surface with a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
An average of 3.4 goals per game was scored in the last 5 matches at this venue