Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew - Atlanta United
05/24/2026, 09:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%What influences the xG?
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United
League
The Lab
- 1Atlanta United: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 0 over 90 minutes
- 2Atlanta United with Luke Brennan: 5 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 3Columbus Crew: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 1 over 90 minutes
- 4Atlanta United: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 5Columbus Crew with Mohamed Farsi: 4.7 goals/90 min. Without: 1.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
30%
Away Win
29%
Goals
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
71%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Pipeline forecast: Columbus Crew is expected to win with 41%, with 1.38 predicted goals
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Columbus Crew scores 1.4 goals per home game, while Atlanta United concedes 2.33 goals away
- Historical dominance: Columbus Crew won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atlanta United
Risk Factors
- Columbus Crew averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Atlanta United concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
Overview
Columbus Crew (13th place, 13 points) hosts Atlanta United (14th place, 11 points) in Major League Soccer on May 24, 2026, 10:00 PM
Both teams are in the lower half of the table, looking to improve their standing
Form
Columbus Crew's form is WLLLD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Recently, Columbus Crew drew 1-1 against Philadelphia Union away, lost 2-3 against New York RB away, lost 0-3 against New York City away, lost 2-3 against Minnesota United at home, and won 2-0 against Philadelphia Union at home
Atlanta United's form is LWWLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Recently, Atlanta United drew 1-1 against Orlando City away, lost 1-2 against LA Galaxy at home, won 3-1 against CF Montréal at home, won 2-1 against Toronto away, and lost 1-2 against New England at home
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Columbus Crew averages 1.36 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded per game this season
At home, Columbus Crew averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded
Both teams scored in 10 Columbus Crew games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 9 games
Atlanta United averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per game this season
Away, Atlanta United averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded
Both teams scored in 8 Atlanta United games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 games
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew and Atlanta United, Columbus Crew has 4 wins and Atlanta United has 1 win, with no draws
Columbus Crew scored 13 goals, Atlanta United scored 8 goals
The last encounter on April 04, 2026, ended in a 3-1 victory for Columbus Crew
Key Players
For Columbus Crew, Max Arfsten with 4 goals and 4 assists, Diego Rossi with 5 goals and 1 assist, and Taha Habroune with 1 goal and 2 assists are key players
Not nominated: Hugo Picard (2G/2A)
For Atlanta United, Aleksey Miranchuk with 5 goals and 2 assists, Saba Lobjanidze with 2 goals, and Ajani Fortune with 2 goals are top performers
Tristan Muyumba scored 1 goal
Goalkeepers
Columbus Crew goalkeeper Patrick Schulte has an average rating of 6.6 in 14 appearances and has kept two clean sheets at home
Atlanta United goalkeeper Lucas Hoyos has an average rating of 6.66 in 13 appearances and has kept zero clean sheets away
Influences
Columbus Crew shows a home offensive average of 1.4 goals and a defensive average of 1.2 goals conceded per game
Atlanta United has an away offensive average of 1.0 goals and a defensive average of 2.33 goals conceded per game