Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers - Sporting KC
05/10/2026, 02:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
10%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Portland Timbers
Sporting KC
League
The Lab
- 1Sporting KC: 6 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 2Portland Timbers with Felipe Mora: 3.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0.9 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Sporting KC: 73% of xG value comes in the first half (last 7 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
29%
Away Win
22%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
78%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Portland Timbers are favorites with a win probability of approximately 49% according to mathematical analysis
- Sporting KC concedes an average of 3.75 goals per away game, which represents a major defensive weakness
- Portland Timbers show better form and have a dominant head-to-head record with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 encounters
Risk Factors
- Sporting KC averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Sporting KC's goal production is stagnant (0.6 goals per game in recent matches), below their season average of 0.8 goals
Overview
Portland Timbers (13th place, 10 points) host Sporting KC (15th place, 5 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 10, 2026, 4:30 AM. Both teams are in the lower half of the table.
Form
Portland Timbers' form in their last 5 games is LWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This translates to 2 wins and 3 losses. Their last result was a loss.
Sporting KC's form in their last 5 games is LLLLD. This represents 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their last game ended in a draw.
Statistics
Portland Timbers average 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 goals conceded per game this season. At home, their average is 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded. They have kept 0 clean sheets and both teams scored in 7 matches.
Sporting KC averages 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per game. Away from home, their record is weaker with 0.75 goals scored and 3.75 goals conceded per game. Sporting KC also has 0 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 6 matches.
Head-to-Head
In 4 head-to-head matches, Portland Timbers recorded 3 wins and 1 draw. Sporting KC has not won any of these encounters. Portland Timbers scored 10 goals, while Sporting KC scored 6 goals. Portland Timbers won the last direct encounter 1-0 on May 11, 2025.
Key Players
For Portland Timbers, Kristoffer Velde is an important attacker with 3 season goals, and his form is stable with 1 goal in the last 5 games. Kevin Kelsy contributed 2 season goals and 1 assist, showing stable form. David Da Costa scored once in the last 5 games and also has stable form.
For Sporting KC, Dejan JoveljiÄ is the top scorer with 5 season goals and 1 assist, maintaining stable form with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Jacob Bartlett scored 1 season goal and showed stable form with 1 goal in his last 5 games. Shapi Suleymanov has 1 season goal and stable form.
Goalkeepers
James Pantemis, goalkeeper for Portland Timbers, has recorded 0 clean sheets this season. Stefan Cleveland, Sporting KC's goalkeeper, has also recorded 0 clean sheets this season.
Influences
Portland Timbers score an average of 1.4 goals per home game and concede 1.6 goals. Sporting KC concedes an average of 3.75 goals per away game, while scoring 0.75 goals.