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Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders

05/25/2026, 01:15 AM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Los Angeles FC
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Seattle Sounders
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%
What influences the xG?
LAFSS

Los Angeles FC

Attack weakness (0.67x league average)
-1.08
Small sample (7 matches) - regression to mean
+0.51
Defensive strength (1.4 conceded vs 1.9 league avg)
-0.50
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.16
Declining form (1.4 vs 1.9 season average)
-0.16
Stephen Eustaquio on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)
Nathan Ordaz on the bench (2 goals, 0 assists)

Seattle Sounders

Attack weakness (0.73x league average)
-0.59
Defensive strength (0.9 conceded vs 1.4 league avg)
-0.45
Small sample (6 matches) - regression to mean
+0.36
3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.04
Weak away record (1 vs 1.6 goals/match)
Full strength squad available

League

High-scoring league (3.3 goals/match)
+0.78
+0.78
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Los Angeles FC with Nathan Ordaz: 2.2 goals/90 min. Without: 0 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Seattle Sounders with Hassani Dotson: 3.5 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)

  • 3
    Los Angeles FC: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)

  • 4
    Los Angeles FC: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

40%

Draw

30%

Away Win

30%

Goals

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

70%

Away or Draw

60%

No Draw

70%

Both Score

Yes

52%

No

48%

Key Factors
  • Los Angeles FC has a home win probability of 40%, according to mathematical analysis
  • Seattle Sounders show more stable form with 2 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss in their last 5 games
  • Los Angeles FC has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches, as shown by their 4:0 win in the last encounter
Risk Factors
  • Los Angeles FC has suffered three consecutive losses recently
  • Los Angeles FC's goal production is stagnant at 1.4 recently, compared to a season average of 1.9 goals
  • Los Angeles FC are missing Stephen Eustaquio (1G/1A) and Nathan Ordaz (2G/0A) from the lineup
Overview

Los Angeles FC (8th place, 21 points) host Seattle Sounders (5th place, 24 points) in a Major League Soccer clash at BMO Stadium. The match is scheduled for May 25, 2026, 3:15 AM. Both teams aim to solidify their positions in the upper half of the table and collect further points.

Form

Los Angeles FC's current form is WDL L L (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) across all competitions

The last loss was 2:3 against Nashville SC

Los Angeles FC has lost their last three matches

Seattle Sounders' current form is WDDWL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) across all competitions

The last loss was 0:2 against LA Galaxy

Seattle Sounders have suffered only one loss in their last five games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Los Angeles FC scores an average of 1.64 goals per game and concedes 1.21 goals this season

At home, Los Angeles FC averages 1.56 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded

Seattle Sounders scores an average of 1.42 goals per game and concedes 0.83 goals this season

Away from home, Seattle Sounders averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded

Los Angeles FC has achieved 8 clean sheets in 14 games

Seattle Sounders has achieved 5 clean sheets in 12 games

Both teams scored in 6 of Los Angeles FC's 14 matches

Both teams scored in 6 of Seattle Sounders' 12 matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Los Angeles FC's matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of Seattle Sounders' matches

Head-to-Head

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles FC secured 3 wins and Seattle Sounders won 2 matches

Los Angeles FC scored a total of 12 goals and Seattle Sounders scored 8 goals in these encounters

The last direct match on May 15, 2025, was won 4:0 by Los Angeles FC at home

Los Angeles FC has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches

Key Players

For Los Angeles FC, Denis Bouanga is a key player with 6 season goals and 2 assists in 13 appearances

Heung-min Son has provided 8 assists in 12 appearances

David MartĂ­nez scored 5 season goals in 13 appearances and shows rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 games

For Seattle Sounders, JesĂșs Ferreira is an important player with 2 season goals and 4 assists in 12 games and shows rising form

Albert RusnĂĄk has 3 season goals and 3 assists in 11 games and contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 matches

Paul Rothrock scored 4 season goals and 1 assist in 11 appearances

Goalkeepers

Thomas Hasal (Los Angeles FC) has played 2 games this season as goalkeeper

Los Angeles FC has kept 8 clean sheets this season

Andrew Thomas (Seattle Sounders) has played 12 games this season as goalkeeper

Seattle Sounders has kept 5 clean sheets this season

Influences

Los Angeles FC averages 1.56 goals scored per home game and 0.89 goals conceded

Seattle Sounders averages 1.25 goals scored per away game and 0.75 goals conceded

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