Major League Soccer
San Diego - Vancouver Whitecaps
05/24/2026, 01:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.8
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
League
The Lab
- 1Vancouver Whitecaps with Thomas MĆ¼ller: 3 goals/90 min. Without: 1.2 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 2Vancouver Whitecaps: 3 comebacks in 8 games after trailing past minute 75 (5 points rescued)
- 3San Diego with Alex Mighten: 4 goals/90 min. Without: 1.3 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 4Vancouver Whitecaps: 38% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (6 of 16)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
29%
Draw
28%
Away Win
43%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
57%
Away or Draw
71%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Clear Favorites: Vancouver Whitecaps lead the league and are predicted with a 43% probability to win away
- Strong Defense: Vancouver Whitecaps concede an average of only 0.77 goals per game
- Home Offense: San Diego shows a solid home offense with an average of 2.1 goals per game
- Away Offense: Vancouver Whitecaps score an average of 2.25 goals per away game
Risk Factors
- Injury Concerns: Vancouver Whitecaps are missing key players such as A. Cubas (Yellow Card Suspension) and Y. Takaoka (Red Card Suspension), E. Sabbi (2G/2A) and C. Sabaly (2G/1A)
- Guests' Form Decline: Vancouver Whitecaps' goal production is currently stalling (1.6 goals), while the season average is 2.3 goals
- Home Team's Draw Tendency: San Diego drew their last three matches
Overview
San Diego (10th place, 17 points) host Vancouver Whitecaps (1st place, 29 points) in Major League Soccer on May 24, 2026, 3:30 AM. Vancouver Whitecaps lead the league and aim to extend their lead, while San Diego battles for a better position in the mid-table.
Form
San Diego shows a form of LDDWD, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their last game was a 3-3 draw against Cincinnati. Vancouver Whitecaps have a form of WDDWL, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. They lost their most recent game 0-1 against Houston Dynamo. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
San Diego averages 2.0 goals per game and concedes 1.64 goals. In home games, these values improve to 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded. They kept 4 clean sheets and both teams scored in 8 matches. Vancouver Whitecaps are offensively strong with an average of 2.31 goals per game and defensively outstanding with only 0.77 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they score 2.25 goals per game and concede 1.5 goals. The Whitecaps kept 5 clean sheets and both teams scored in 6 matches.
Head-to-Head
In three head-to-head matches, San Diego and Vancouver Whitecaps each have one win, with one match ending in a draw. The goal difference is even at 7:7. Vancouver won the last encounter away on November 30, 2025, with a score of 1:3.
Key Players
For San Diego, Marcus Ingvartsen (11 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 7.34) and Anders Dreyer (6 goals, 5 assists, avg rating 7.67) are crucial. Onni Valakari (3 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.16) shows a rising form with 2 assists in the last 5 games. For Vancouver Whitecaps, Sebastian Berhalter (6 goals, 5 assists, avg rating 7.98) and Brian White (8 goals) stand out. MathĆas Laborda (3 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.24) is another important player, but his form is slightly declining.
Goalkeepers
San Diego's goalkeeper is CJ dos Santos, who achieved an average rating of 6.12 in one game this season. San Diego has kept 4 clean sheets this season. For Vancouver Whitecaps, Isaac Boehmer is in goal, also featuring in one game with an average rating of 6.57. Vancouver Whitecaps have a total of 5 clean sheets this season.
Influences
San Diego shows good offensive performance at home with an average of 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded. Vancouver Whitecaps are also offensively strong away, scoring an average of 2.25 goals per away game.