🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - LA Galaxy

08/22/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 2
Expected Goals
CF Montréal
1.6
Total xG
2.9
LA Galaxy
1.3
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
What influences the xG?
CMLG

CF Montréal

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.13
Declining form (1 vs 1.4 season average)
-0.13
Gennadiy Synchuk on the bench (1 goals, 1 assists)

LA Galaxy

5 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (0.6 goals/match)
-0.20
Declining form (0.8 vs 1.2 season average)
-0.15
Marco Reus on the bench (4 goals, 6 assists)
Lucas Sanabria not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)
45% of goal output missing (only 46% available)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.69
+0.69
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    LA Galaxy with Robert Taylor: 0.5 goals/game. Without: 1.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    CF Montréal with Jalen Neal: 0.6 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (5 of 8 games)

  • 3
    CF Montréal: 70% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

28%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

59%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

60%

No

40%

Key Factors
  • Squad impact on LA Galaxy: Only 47% of standard starting XI strength is available as key players Marco Reus (4 goals, 6 assists) and Lucas Sanabria (2 goals, 1 assist) are missing
  • Tactical advantage: Montréal averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to LA Galaxy's 4.2
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates a 41% home win probability for CF Montréal
Risk Factors
  • Heavy schedule: LA Galaxy has only 2 days of rest since their last match while Montréal had only 3 days
  • Goal slump for both sides: According to advancedStats current goal production is stalled for Montréal (last matches 1.0 vs season average 1.4) and LA Galaxy (last matches 0.75 vs season average 1.3)
  • Limited data on head-to-head history
Overview

CF Montréal host LA Galaxy at Saputo Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 22, 2026, 11:30 PM

CF Montréal are in 14th place with 20 points

LA Galaxy travel as 10th in the standings with 25 points

Form

Montréal form: LLDDW

LA Galaxy form: LDDLW

Both teams won their respective last match

Montréal secured a 2-1 win against Columbus Crew while LA Galaxy won 1-0 against SJ Earthquakes

Statistics

CF Montréal average 1.35 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded per game this season

At home their defense is stronger with 1.1 goals conceded compared to 2.6 goals conceded away from home

LA Galaxy score an average of 1.18 goals on the road and concede 1.45 goals

For LA Galaxy both teams scored in 15 out of 21 games this season

Key Players

Prince Owusu leads Montréal with 12 goals and 6 assists in 19 appearances

Matty Longstaff has recorded 2 goals and 3 assists this season

Brayan Vera shows rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 matches

Joseph Paintsil is the top attacking threat for LA Galaxy with 5 goals

Jakob Glesnes and Justin Haak have shown rising form in defense recently

Goalkeepers

Thomas Gillier starts in goal for Montréal without any season appearances so far

J. Marcinkowski played 16 matches in goal for LA Galaxy

Both sides have kept 4 clean sheets this season

Influences

Saputo Stadium features a natural grass surface

Historically matches at this venue averaged 1.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 matches at this stadium

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.