Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy - St. Louis City
07/23/2026, 02:30 AM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
6%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
LA Galaxy
St. Louis City
League
The Lab
- 1LA Galaxy: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 2St. Louis City with Rafael Santos: 2 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 3LA Galaxy with Mauricio Cuevas: 1.5 goals/game. Without: 0.5 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
- 4Gabriel Pec: 4 of 5 goals after minute 60 (last 8 games)
- 5St. Louis City: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
37%
Draw
28%
Away Win
35%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
65%
Away or Draw
63%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Form contrast: St. Louis City enters unbeaten in 5 matches (WWDWW) while LA Galaxy is coming off a 0-3 loss
- Tactical Trend: St. Louis City is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) compared to their season average of 1.27
- Missing goal threat: LA Galaxy is missing J. De Mello who has scored 5 goals this season
Risk Factors
- Away defense: St. Louis City concedes an average of 3.25 goals per away game this season
- Squad impact: Gabriel Pec is missing for LA Galaxy, reducing starting XI strength to 85%
- Attacking drop: LA Galaxy's recent goal output has slowed down to 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.38
Overview
LA Galaxy hosts St. Louis City at the Dignity Health Sports Park
Major League Soccer match on July 23, 2026, 4:30 AM
LA Galaxy is currently in 9th place with 20 points
St. Louis City sits in 10th place with 19 points
A tight mid-table clash is expected
Form
LA Galaxy shows a form curve of WLWDL with 2 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games
They suffered a 0-3 defeat against Los Angeles FC in their last match
St. Louis City is in strong form with WWDWW and remains unbeaten in 5 matches
Their last game resulted in a 3-2 victory against Sporting KC
Statistics
LA Galaxy averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per game
At home, the host team averages 1.43 goals scored
St. Louis City averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded
Away from home, St. Louis City concedes a high average of 3.25 goals per game
Head-to-Head
There have been 4 head-to-head matches in total
St. Louis City has won 2 matches with 2 draws, remaining undefeated against LA Galaxy
The overall goal ratio is 7:11 in favor of St. Louis City
The last direct duel ended in a 3-3 draw
Key Players
Marco Reus scored 4 goals and provided 5 assists in 16 appearances with a 7.29 rating
Joseph Paintsil has 3 goals and 2 assists from 12 games played
Lucas Sanabria contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 16 matches
Marcel Hartel scored 4 goals and 1 assist in 13 games for the visitors
Eduard Löwen has 2 goals and 1 assist in 8 appearances
Simon Becher registered 1 goal and 4 assists in 15 matches
Goalkeepers
J. Marcinkowski holds an average rating of 6.98 with 2 clean sheets this season
Roman BĂŒrki has a rating of 6.84 and also recorded 2 clean sheets
Influences
LA Galaxy plays on grass at the Dignity Health Sports Park
The venue averages 2.6 goals per match
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches played at this stadium
St. Louis City has a severe defensive drop away from home, conceding 3.25 goals per game